Match Info

Liga MX - Clausura - Round 17

Date: 24 April 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Cuauhtémoc (Puebla)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Azteca 7, Azteca Deportes, FOX One, FOX Sports
South-america	ViX Latin America
Usa	TUDN App, TUDN


	Puebla		Querétaro

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.5	2.75	Watch
	2.37	3.5	2.7
	2.42	3.45	2.72
	2.47	3.68	2.82
	2.42	3.67	2.71	Watch
	2.3	3.25	2.63
	2.38	3.44	2.72	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (2.37)	3.5 ↓ (3.67)	2.72 ↓ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Puebla
39.1%

Draw
26.7%

Querétaro
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

25.8%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4%

26.1%

34%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Puebla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Querétaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puebla than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Querétaro than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	0%	22.2%

Puebla - Querétaro Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Puebla will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Querétaro will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Puebla: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Gutierrez D. (G) 12. Moreno I. 4. Vargas J. 6. Diaz N. (C) 7. Monarrez F. 18. Gamarra A. 27. Garnica B. 16. Ramirez A. 24. Organista A. 11. Gomez E. 17. Lozano E.	1. Hernandez J. (G) 22. Duarte B. 9. Reyes D. (C) 2. Abascia L. 27. Parra D. 14. Unjanque J. 6. Homenchenko S. 4. Garcia C. 190. Cazares J. 31. Avila A. 37. Coronel M.
Substitutes
32. Araos A. 22. Baltazar C. 195. de la Rosa A. 21. Gonzalez O. 29. Mustre E. 20. Pachuca Martinez J. R. 8. Ramirez M. 3. Rey L. 33. Rodriguez J. (G) 5. Torres U.	20. Alcala A. 25. Allison G. (G) 30. Arellano J. 18. Duenas E. 12. Gomez J. 8. Parra B. 26. Perez E. 23. Robles J. 10. Rodriguez L. 15. Villanueva C.
Coaches
Espigares A.	Gonzalez E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Garnica B. ⚽,
16', Garnica B. 🟥,
16', Diaz N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Cazares J. ↓, Perez E. ↑,
46', Garcia C. ↓, Rodriguez L. ↑,
55', 1 - 1, Avila A. ⚽, Perez E. (A),
58', Lozano E. ↓, Rey L. ↑,
61', Unjanque J. ↓, Gomez J. ↑,
72', Duarte B. ↓, Robles J. ↑,
72', Gamarra A. ↓, Pachuca Martinez J. R. ↑,
73', Organista A. ↓, Baltazar C. ↑,
79', 1 - 2, Parra D. ⚽, Avila A. (A),
84', Homenchenko S. ↓, Parra B. ↑,
90', Monarrez F. ↓, Mustre E. ↑,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Puebla won 1.

Puebla has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Querétaro is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Querétaro has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Puebla: Guerra E. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Puebla: Canelo A. (Injury) Castillo R. (Broken Leg) Cavallini L. (Knee Injury) Maestro I. (Ankle Injury) Velasco K. (Injury)

There are questionable in Querétaro: Carcelen Carabali M. A. (Muscle Injury) Gruezo E. (Knee Injury) Jhojan Julio (Injury) Rodriguez L. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Puebla won 6 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 22:23. (average 1.1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Puebla won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 1.2:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Queretaro	10	6	2	2	15:8	7	20
9	Puebla	11	4	3	4	12:13	-1	15

Last Results with these Odds

Querétaro - the odds 2.75 are the expected chance of winning is 34.37%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Puebla FC
Mexican Liga MX
21.04.26	Monterrey - Puebla	2:1 ✺
18.04.26	Chivas Guadalajara - Puebla	5:0 ✺
10.04.26	Puebla - Club León	0:1 ✺
03.04.26	Puebla - Juárez	1:1 ✺
22.03.26	Santos Laguna - Puebla	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLTL
- Querétaro FC
Mexican Liga MX
21.04.26	Querétaro - Cruz Azul	1:1 ✺
17.04.26	Mazatlan - Querétaro	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Querétaro - Necaxa	3:1 ✺
07.04.26	Querétaro - Juárez	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	Querétaro - Toluca	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.1 TTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX
04.10.25	Querétaro - Puebla	3:1
02.03.25	Querétaro - Puebla	2:0
13.09.24	Puebla - Querétaro	2:1
23.02.24	Puebla - Querétaro	0:2
17.09.23	Querétaro - Puebla	1:1
13.01.23	Puebla - Querétaro	2:0
01.09.22	Querétaro - Puebla	1:1

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