Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 1 August 2024, Thursday

Location: Nantporth Stadium (Bangor)

Referee: Kristjansson I. O. (Ice)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1
United-kingdom	BBC iPlayer, S4C Clic, S4C Digital, S4C


	Caernarfon Town		Legia Warsaw

	1	X	2
	11	7	1.17	Watch
	12.5	7.5	1.16
	13	7	1.17
	10.95	7.34	1.17
	12.62	7.49	1.17	Watch
	15	7.9	1.15	Watch
	13	7	1.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	12.58 ↓ (18.17)	7.32 ↓ (9.13)	1.17 ↑ (1.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caernarfon Town
7.4%

Draw
12.7%

Legia Warsaw
79.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

5.1%

10.1%

84.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caernarfon Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Legia Warsaw has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Caernarfon Town - Legia Warsaw Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Caernarfon will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Legia will win (votes: 6 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Legia: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. McMullan S. (G) 2. Owen M. 27. Sears R. 4. Williams G. 3. Jones M. 21. Faux J. 18. Mendes P. 8. Gosset D. 20. Lloyd L. 10. Thomas D. (C) 7. Clarke Z.	27. Kobylak G. (G) 12. Pankov R. 55. Jedrzejczyk A. (C) 42. Sergio Barcia 11. Chodyna K. 67. Kapustka B. 21. Celhaka J. 25. Morishita R. 23. Kun P. 99. Majchrzak J. 7. Pekhart T.
Substitutes
9. Davies A. 17. Downey S. 16. Evans O. 15. Hill M. 30. Pritchard T. (G) 13. Thomas H. (G) 14. Williams M.	80. Adkonis J. 56. Leszczynski J. 77. Nsame J. 86. Strzalek I. 71. Szczepaniak M. 1. Tobiasz K. (G) 53. Urbanski W. 50. Wojciech B. (G) 20. Zewlakow J. 24. Ziolkowski J.
Coaches
Davies R.	Feio G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Williams G. 🟨,
26', Mendes P. 🟨,
43', Jedrzejczyk A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 5)
46', 0 - 1, Kapustka B. ⚽,
48', Sears R. 🟨,
48', 0 - 2, Jedrzejczyk A. ⚽,
54', 0 - 3, Pekhart T. ⚽, Morishita R. (A),
55', Clarke Z. ↓, Davies A. ↑,
55', Thomas D. ↓, Williams M. ↑,
57', Pankov R. ↓, Ziolkowski J. ↑,
57', Kapustka B. ↓, Urbanski W. ↑,
57', Celhaka J. ↓, Adkonis J. ↑,
57', Pekhart T. ↓, Nsame J. ↑,
61', Faux J. ↓, Hill M. ↑,
61', Mendes P. ↓, Downey S. ↑,
72', 0 - 4, Nsame J. ⚽, Urbanski W. (A),
74', Majchrzak J. ↓, Zewlakow J. ↑,
74', Jones M. ↓, Evans O. ↑,
83', 0 - 5, Sergio Barcia ⚽, Morishita R. (A),
86', Sears R. 🟨,
90', Owen M. 🟨,

Preview

2nd leg. Playing home matches at a different stadium - Nantporth Stadium. 1st leg result: 0-6.

Legia in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Caernarfon could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Legia have a series of home games.

In this match Legia is indisputable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Caernarfon won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Caernarfon Town
UEFA Europa Conference League
25.07.24	Legia Warsaw - Caernarfon Town	6:0 ✺
17.07.24	Crusaders - Caernarfon Town	3:2 penalties ✺
11.07.24	Caernarfon Town - Crusaders	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
29.06.24	Cliftonville - Caernarfon Town	1:2 ✺
Welsh Cymru Premier
18.05.24	Caernarfon Town - Pen-y-Bont	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.9 LLWWW
- Legia Warsaw
Polish Ekstraklasa
28.07.24	Korona Kielce - Legia Warsaw	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
25.07.24	Legia Warsaw - Caernarfon Town	6:0 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
20.07.24	Legia Warsaw - Zagłębie Lubin	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
06.07.24	Legia Warsaw - Lechia Gdańsk	1:1 ✺
06.07.24	Legia Warsaw - Jagiellonia Białystok	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
25.07.24	Legia Warsaw - Caernarfon Town	6:0

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