Match Info

CHINA: FA Cup - 1/8-finals

Date: 17 July 2024, Wednesday

Location: Qingdao Youth Football Stadium (Qingdao)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu


	Qingdao Hainiu		Nanjing City

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2	3.1	3.2
	2.1	3.3	3.4
	2.12	3.54	4.05
	1.87	3.42	3.83	Watch
	2	3.3	3.25
	2.11	3.41	3.31	Watch
	2.03	3.25	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (1.59)	3.33 ↓ (3.75)	3.48 ↓ (4.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 0.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Qingdao Hainiu
45.6%

Draw
27.8%

Nanjing City
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57%

24.2%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.9%

25.9%

17.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Qingdao Hainiu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Qingdao Hainiu's form might have worsened.

Nanjing City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nanjing City's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Qingdao Hainiu than the current prediction. (+15.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Qingdao Hainiu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nanjing City than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nanjing City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Qingdao Hainiu - Nanjing City Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Qingdao Hainiu will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Nanjing City will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Liu Zhenli (G) 16. Li Hailong 23. Song Long 26. Radmanovac N. 6. Liu Weicheng 12. Chen Chunxin 18. Wang Zihao 27. Zheng Long (C) 30. Zhong Jinbao 17. Hu Jinghang 38. Zhang Wei	21. Qi Yuxi (G) 26. Liu Jiahui 27. Wang Hao 6. Wang Haoran 22. Huang Peng 9. Yang He (C) 11. Matheus Moresche 15. Jiang Shichao 17. Meng Zhen 7. Nem Jefferson 20. Ogbu M.
Substitutes
11. Boakye M. 13. Cao Zheng (G) 21. Jiang Ning 10. Kangwa E. 33. Liu Jiashen 1. Liu Jun (G) 3. Liu Junshuai 32. Long Wei 5. Sha Yibo 25. Wang Chien-Ming 15. Xu Yang 34. Yonghao J.	29. Dong H. 2. Dujardin A. 16. Gong Hankui 45. Ji Xiang 28. Ling Jie 18. Nan Xiaoheng 30. Tayir Shewketjan 8. Wei Yuren 39. Yu M. 24. Zhang Yu 13. Zheng Hao (G) 31. Zhu Qiwen

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
32', 0 - 1, Ogbu M. ⚽,
42', 🟨,
45', 0 - 2, Ogbu M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', 🟨,
71', 🟨,
90+6', 🟨,

Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Recently Nanjing City have a series of home games.

In this match Qingdao Hainiu is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Qingdao Hainiu
Chinese Super League
13.07.24	Shandong Taishan - Qingdao Hainiu	1:1 ✺
07.07.24	Qingdao Hainiu - Qingdao West Coast	3:1 ✺
30.06.24	Changchun Yatai - Qingdao Hainiu	5:0 ✺
26.06.24	Qingdao Hainiu - Chengdu Rongcheng	1:5 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
19.06.24	Hangzhou Linping Wuyue - Qingdao Hainiu	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TWLLW
- Nanjing City FC
Chinese Jia League
13.07.24	Nanjing City - Yunnan Yukun	0:2 ✺
06.07.24	Nanjing City - Ningbo Professional	0:0 ✺
29.06.24	Guangzhou Evergrande - Nanjing City	1:1 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
23.06.24	Nanjing City - Cangzhou Mighty Lions	1:0 ✺
Chinese Jia League
15.06.24	Nanjing City - Qingdao Red Lions	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 LTTWW

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