Match Info

SCOTLAND: League One - Round 22

Date: 25 January 2025, Saturday

Location: Palmerston Park (Dumfries)


	Queen of the South		Dumbarton

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.5	3.6
	1.82	3.5	3.5
	1.83	3.2	3.45
	1.91	3.49	3.9
	1.93	3.52	3.82	Watch
	1.91	3.5	3.8
	1.88	3.58	3.68	Watch
	1.83	3.2	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (1.91)	3.44 ↑ (3.3)	3.65 ↑ (3.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Queen of the South
48.6%

Draw
26.5%

Dumbarton
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.7%

27.1%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

25.8%

24.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Queen of the South has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Dumbarton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Queen of the South than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

The ML Model estimate for Dumbarton aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	40%	40%

Queen of the South - Dumbarton Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Queen of the South will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Dumbarton will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Stewart R. (G) 2. Hewitt M. 5. Douglas M. 16. Hannah J. 23. Walker J. 17. O'Donnell L. 4. Lyon R. 8. Luissint B. 22. MacIntyre O. 11. Dickenson B. 12. Brooks A.	1. Hayward O. (G) 12. Pignatiello C. 21. McGuffie C. 5. Durnan M. 24. Clark C. 7. Orsi K. 10. Gray F. 6. Blair R. 20. Niang M. 18. Webster K. 17. Hilton J.
Substitutes
29. Allan J. 19. Bryden F. 35. Brydon J. 9. McIntosh L. 24. McLinden H. 26. Thomson M. (G)	14. Doyle O. 26. Gilfedder A. 15. Grivas P. 31. Miller M. 9. Mumbongo J. 16. Nicol M. 19. O'Neil P. (G) 23. Ruth M. 3. Young G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
3', 1 - 0, Brooks A. ⚽,
28', 1 - 1, Durnan M. ⚽, McGuffie C. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
54', 2 - 1, Brooks A. ⚽, Walker J. (A),
64', Pignatiello C. 🟨,
66', 3 - 1, Dickenson B. ⚽,
70', Hilton J. ↓, Mumbongo J. ↑,
71', Durnan M. 🟨,
72', O'Donnell L. ↓, Allan J. ↑,
83', Walker J. ↓, Bryden F. ↑,
84', Pignatiello C. ↓, Miller M. ↑,
84', Webster K. ↓, Ruth M. ↑,
88', Brooks A. ↓, Brydon J. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Queen of the South won 4.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Dumbarton could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Queen of the South have a series of home games.

Queen of the South will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Queen of the South won 11 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 34:17 (average 1.7:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Queen of the South won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 19:5 (average 1.9:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Queen of the South
Scottish League One
21.01.25	Queen of the South - Inverness	3:2 ✺
Scottish Cup
18.01.25	Queen of the South - St. Mirren	1:3 ✺
Scottish League One
11.01.25	Alloa Athletic - Queen of the South	1:1 ✺
04.01.25	Queen of the South - Cove Rangers	1:0 ✺
28.12.24	Queen of the South - Annan Athletic	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WLTWT
- Dumbarton
Scottish Cup
18.01.25	Dumbarton - Airdrieonians	1:5 ✺
Scottish League One
04.01.25	Inverness - Dumbarton	2:0 ✺
28.12.24	Dumbarton - Kelty Hearts	2:0 ✺
21.12.24	Montrose - Dumbarton	1:2 ✺
14.12.24	Dumbarton - Annan Athletic	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League One
16.11.24	Dumbarton - Queen of the South	2:1
28.09.24	Queen of the South - Dumbarton	2:0
Scottish League Cup
16.07.24	Queen of the South - Dumbarton	2:0
20.07.19	Dumbarton - Queen of the South	1:4
Scottish Football Championship
10.03.18	Dumbarton - Queen of the South	0:1
02.01.18	Queen of the South - Dumbarton	0:0
28.11.17	Dumbarton - Queen of the South	2:2

Upcoming Matches