Match Info

Liga MX - Apertura - Round 11

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio La Corregidora (Querétaro) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Armenta J. (Mex)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Mexico	17:00	FOX+, FOX One
South America	—	ViX Latin America


	Querétaro		Atlante

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.5	3.3	Watch
	2.10	3.40	3.25
	2.12	3.3	3.25	Watch
	2.22	3.4	3.59
	2.17	3.29	3.46	Watch
	2.17	3.2	3.5
	2.05	3.26	3.51	Watch
	2.12	3.4	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (2.01)	3.34 ↓ (3.51)	3.4 ↓ (3.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Querétaro
44.1%

Draw
28.1%

Atlante
27.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

46.8%

26.8%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1%

26.1%

25.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Querétaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Atlante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Querétaro than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlante than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	75%	0%

Querétaro - Atlante Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Querétaro will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Querétaro (1.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Querétaro (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Querétaro (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Allison G. (G) 17. Munoz D. 4. Garcia C. 13. Reyes D. (C) 27. Parra D. 16. Gimenez E. 5. Homenchenko S. 15. Villanueva C. 11. Coronel M. 7. Benito I. 9. Avila A.	1. Jimenez O. (C) 29. Portales W. 6. Carrera J. N. 4. Tercero E. 44. Quiros A. 37. Clar W. 30. Martin Sarrafiore 8. Pizzuto E. 19. Calzadilla L. 9. Puente L. 7. Jhojan Julio
Substitutes
28. Arellano J. 197. Cruz J. 241. Guerrero E. 1. Hernandez J. (G) 29. Madrid W. 30. Martinez J. 8. Parra B. 12. Paulo Victor 26. Perez E. 23. Robles J.	32. Bagui Tobar D. O. 22. Barragan R. (G) 18. Bermudez C. 15. Charcopa J. 25. Fernandez M. 16. Gonzalez D. 34. Jimenez E. 11. Moxica J. 3. Sanchez L. 10. Vazquez O.
Coaches
Gonzalez E.	Herrera M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', Pizzuto E. 🟨,
25', 1 - 0, Homenchenko S. (Penalty Awarded),
35', Clar W. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', 2 - 0, Munoz D. ⚽, Benito I. (A),
54', Clar W. ↓, Jimenez E. ↑,
57', Herrera M. 🟨,
64', Munoz D. ↓, Parra B. ↑,
68', Portales W. ↓, Vazquez O. ↑,
71', Carrera J. N. 🟨,
72', Benito I. ↓, Paulo Victor ↑,
73', Coronel M. ↓, Madrid W. ↑,
82', Pizzuto E. ↓, Bagui Tobar D. O. ↑,
82', Carrera J. N. ↓, Moxica J. ↑,
82', Quiros A. ↓, Bermudez C. ↑,
84', Parra B. 🟨,
86', Garcia C. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
86', Avila A. ↓, Perez E. ↑,

Preview

A clear contrast in standings as an upper-tier team meets a relegation-threatened side (ranked 5th in the Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Playoffs - Quarter - finals) and 14th).

Querétaro has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Atlante has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Atlante could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Querétaro is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

Confirmed absences for Querétaro: Abascia L. (Yellow Cards) Duarte B. (Yellow Cards) Duenas E. (Knee Injury).

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Querétaro has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:6 (averaging 1:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Querétaro against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 1:1 goals (averaging 0.5:0.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Queretaro	13	6	2	5	17:18	-1	20
16	Atlante	14	3	5	6	14:20	-6	14

Outrights of Mexican Liga MX for now

Queretaro: 1.95% Atlante: 0.61%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Querétaro FC
Mexican Liga MX
26.09.26	Chivas Guadalajara - Querétaro	0:2 ✺
20.09.26	Querétaro - Club León	1:1 ✺
11.09.26	Tijuana - Querétaro	0:1 ✺
29.08.26	Atlas - Querétaro	1:3 ✺
21.08.26	Querétaro - Toluca	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27 WTWWL
- Atlante FC
Mexican Liga MX
25.09.26	Atlante - Monterrey	4:2 ✺
18.09.26	Puebla - Atlante	1:1 ✺
11.09.26	Atlante - Pachuca	0:3 ✺
05.09.26	Atlas - Atlante	1:1 ✺
28.08.26	Atlante - Club León	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX
09.03.14	Atlante - Querétaro	4:2
13.09.13	Querétaro - Atlante	1:0
17.02.13	Atlante - Querétaro	1:1
01.09.12	Querétaro - Atlante	0:1

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