Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 22

Date: 15 July 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadio Centenario Ciudad de Quilmes (Quilmes)

Referee: Lopez R. (Arg)


	Quilmes		Brown de Adrogué

	1	X	2
	2.15	3	3.8	Watch
	2.1	2.95	3.5
	2.05	2.95	4.1
	2.21	2.9	4.04
	2.15	2.9	3.4
	2.07	3.13	4.05
	2.15	3	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (2.01)	2.98 ↓ (3.03)	3.78 ↓ (3.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Quilmes
43.9%

Draw
31.4%

Brown de Adrogué
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.9%

30.4%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.9%

29.8%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Quilmes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Brown de Adrogué has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Quilmes than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brown de Adrogué than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Quilmes - Brown de Adrogué Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Quilmes will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Alvarez M. (G) 4. Garcia M. 2. Diaz G. 6. Giampaoli R. 3. Erquiaga I. 8. Ramirez I. 5. Postigo J. 10. Colman I. 7. Bonetto J. 9. Anselmo F. 11. Gimenez M.	1. Ramirez H. (G) 4. Rosales P. 2. Lopez T. 6. Kippes A. 3. Sayavedra R. 8. Da C. H. 5. Jerez Silva L. (C) 7. Lovazzano L. 11. Sanchez A. 10. Vidal P. 9. Lavezzi A.
Substitutes
. Ayala W. . Batista A. . Bindella A. . Brizuela E. . Castro F. . Glellel E. (G) . Sanabria M. . Sandoval T. . Tevez F.	16. Belleggia L. 12. Diaz F. (G) 13. Mayola E. 19. Mendoza J. 18. Obregon B. 14. Pacchini J. 17. Perinciolo F. 20. Sandoval I. 15. Sangiovani R.
Coaches
Sciacqua M.	Vico P.

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Quilmes won 1.

Quilmes in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Brown de Adrogué is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Quilmes have a series of guest games.

Quilmes will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Quilmes won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Quilmes won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Quilmes AC
Argentinian Primera Nacional
09.07.23	Aldosivi - Quilmes	1:2 ✺
30.06.23	Gimnasia Jujuy - Quilmes	0:1 ✺
24.06.23	Quilmes - Ferro Carril Oeste	1:0 ✺
19.06.23	Deportivo Riestra - Quilmes	1:1 ✺
05.06.23	Racing de Córdoba - Quilmes	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 WWWTW
- Brown de Adrogué
Argentinian Primera Nacional
08.07.23	Brown de Adrogué - Gimnasia Jujuy	1:0 ✺
30.06.23	Ferro Carril Oeste - Brown de Adrogué	1:0 ✺
25.06.23	Brown de Adrogué - Deportivo Riestra	1:1 ✺
19.06.23	Racing de Córdoba - Brown de Adrogué	1:2 ✺
05.06.23	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Brown de Adrogué	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
11.03.23	Brown de Adrogué - Quilmes	1:0
18.04.22	Quilmes - Brown de Adrogué	1:1
11.01.21	Quilmes - Brown de Adrogué	1:0
02.12.19	Quilmes - Brown de Adrogué	1:1
25.03.19	Quilmes - Brown de Adrogué	0:0
26.02.18	Quilmes - Brown de Adrogué	3:0

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