Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 22

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Red Bull Arena (Leipzig)

Referee: Jollenbeck M. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 2, CANAL+ Sport 1, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football, ZAP
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Denmark	TV3 MAX, Viaplay
Europe	Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free
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Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch
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Hungary	Match 4
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Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
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Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	TV 360
World	Daystar Pacific, Onefootball


	RB Leipzig		Wolfsburg

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.75	5.5	Watch
	1.5	4.95	5.4	Watch
	1.55	4.9	5.85
	1.53	4.71	5.51	Watch
	1.5	4.4	5
	1.52	4.88	6.01	Watch
	1.54	4.5	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.46)	4.73 ↓ (5.11)	5.54 ↓ (5.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

RB Leipzig
62.7%

Draw
20.1%

Wolfsburg
17.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65%

18.6%

16.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.6%

18.2%

16%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

RB Leipzig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Wolfsburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for RB Leipzig than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wolfsburg than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.1%	14.1%	2.8%

RB Leipzig - Wolfsburg Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - RB Leipzig (1.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - RB Leipzig (1.82) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: RB Leipzig will win (59 of 71 users predict this - 83.1%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.38% – 91.82%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): RB Leipzig will win (17 of 17 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 21 Selected Experts predict this event. RB Leipzig (votes: 21 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gulacsi P. (G) 39. Henrichs B. 4. Orban W. 13. Seiwald N. 35. Finkgrafe M. 10. Gruda B. 24. Schlager X. (C) 14. Baumgartner C. 49. Diomande Y. 11. Harder C. 7. Nusa A.	1. Grabara K. (G) 26. Kumbedi S. 3. Vavro D. 15. Jenz M. 6. Belocian J. 24. Eriksen C. 27. Arnold M. (C) 11. Daghim A. 10. Majer L. 7. Shiogai K. 9. Amoura M.
Substitutes
9. Bakayoko J. 17. Baku R. 6. Banzuzi E. 5. Bitshiabu E. 27. Gomis T. 23. Lukeba C. 33. Maksimovic A. 40. Romulo Cardoso 26. Vandevoordt M. (G)	18. Adjetey J. 41. Burger J. 31. Gerhardt Y. 37. Hensel P. 4. Koulierakis K. 29. Muller M. (G) 17. Pejcinovic D. 32. Svanberg M. 5. Vini Souza
Coaches
Werner O.	Bauer D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Gulacsi P. ↓, Vandevoordt M. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
48', Kumbedi S. 🟨,
52', 0 - 1, Amoura M. ⚽, Daghim A. (A),
60', Shiogai K. ↓, Svanberg M. ↑,
63', Henrichs B. ↓, Baku R. ↑,
63', Harder C. ↓, Romulo Cardoso ↑,
63', Schlager X. 🟨,
70', 1 - 1, Diomande Y. ⚽, Gruda B. (A),
77', Muller M. 🟨,
78', 1 - 2, Svanberg M. ⚽, Belocian J. (A),
82', Seiwald N. ↓, Lukeba C. ↑,
82', Nusa A. ↓, Bakayoko J. ↑,
83', Amoura M. ↓, Koulierakis K. ↑,
84', Majer L. ↓, Pejcinovic D. ↑,
89', 2 - 2, Gruda B. ⚽,
90+5', Daghim A. ↓, Adjetey J. ↑,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, RB Leipzig won 4.

RB Leipzig has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Wolfsburg is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Wolfsburg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, RB Leipzig has had a series of away games.

In this match, RB Leipzig is the clear favorite.

There will not play in RB Leipzig: Gebel V. (Knee Injury) Ouedraogo A. (Knee Injury) Raum D. (Yellow Cards) Sani S. (Ankle Injury) Thomas A. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Wolfsburg: Cleiton (Ankle Injury) Dardai B. (Knee Injury) Fischer K. (Thigh Injury) Maehle J. (Shoulder Injury) Rogerio (Muscle Injury) Seelt J. (Illness) Wind J. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Wolfsburg: Lindstrom J. (Illness) Paredes K. (Illness) Wimmer P. (Muscle Injury) Zehnter A. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, RB Leipzig won 11 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 34:18. (average 1.7:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, RB Leipzig won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:9. (average 1.6:0.8).

Outrights of German Bundesliga for now

RB Leipzig: 2.84%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	RB Leipzig	4	2	0	2	9:5	4	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RB Leipzig
German DFB Pokal
11.02.26	Bayern Munich - RB Leipzig	2:0 ✺
German Bundesliga
08.02.26	Köln - RB Leipzig	1:2 ✺
31.01.26	RB Leipzig - Mainz	1:2 ✺
27.01.26	St. Pauli - RB Leipzig	1:1 ✺
24.01.26	Heidenheim - RB Leipzig	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWLTW
- VfL Wolfsburg
German Bundesliga
07.02.26	Wolfsburg - Borussia Dortmund	1:2 ✺
30.01.26	Köln - Wolfsburg	1:0 ✺
24.01.26	Mainz - Wolfsburg	3:1 ✺
17.01.26	Wolfsburg - Heidenheim	1:1 ✺
14.01.26	Wolfsburg - St. Pauli	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
27.09.25	Wolfsburg - RB Leipzig	0:1
11.04.25	Wolfsburg - RB Leipzig	2:3
German DFB Pokal
26.02.25	RB Leipzig - Wolfsburg	1:0
German Bundesliga
30.11.24	RB Leipzig - Wolfsburg	1:5
13.04.24	RB Leipzig - Wolfsburg	3:0
25.11.23	Wolfsburg - RB Leipzig	2:1
German DFB Pokal
31.10.23	Wolfsburg - RB Leipzig	1:0

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