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RB Leipzig - Wolfsburg

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Match Info

  • Bundesliga - Round 22
  • Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday ๐Ÿ Finished
  • Location: Red Bull Arena (Leipzig) ๐ŸŒค๏ธ ...
  • Referee: Jollenbeck M. (Ger)
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    RB Leipzig Wolfsburg
    RB Leipzig Wolfsburg
    1 X 2
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    (Initially)    		 1.52 ↑
    (1.46)    		 4.73 ↓
    (5.11)    		 5.54 ↓
    (5.79)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

    • The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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    Current Win Probability

    RB Leipzig
    62.7%    		Draw
    20.1%    		Wolfsburg
    17.2%

    Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
    65% 18.6% 16.4%

    Our Initial ML Estimation
    66.6% 18.2% 16%


    Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
  • RB Leipzig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • Wolfsburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for RB Leipzig than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wolfsburg than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

    • Who will win by Users?

    1
    X
    2
    83.1% 14.1% 2.8%

    RB Leipzig - Wolfsburg Predictions

  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • DC - RB Leipzig (1.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - RB Leipzig (1.82) (votes: 3 - 100%) ๐Ÿฅ‰ Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: RB Leipzig will win (59 of 71 users predict this - 83.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 74.38% โ€“ 91.82%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): RB Leipzig will win (17 of 17 users predict this - 100%) ๐Ÿฅ‡ Gold Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 21 Selected Experts predict this event. RB Leipzig (votes: 21 - 100%).
  • Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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    Lineups

    Starting Lineups
      1. HungaryGulacsi P. (G)
    39. GermanyHenrichs B.
      4. HungaryOrban W.
    13. AustriaSeiwald N.
    35. GermanyFinkgrafe M.
    10. GermanyGruda B.
    24. AustriaSchlager X. (C)
    14. AustriaBaumgartner C.
    49. IvoryDiomande Y.
    11. DenmarkHarder C.
      7. NorwayNusa A.
    		  1. PolandGrabara K. (G)
    26. FranceKumbedi S.
      3. SlovakiaVavro D.
    15. GermanyJenz M.
      6. FranceBelocian J.
    24. DenmarkEriksen C.
    27. GermanyArnold M. (C)
    11. DenmarkDaghim A.
    10. CroatiaMajer L.
      7. JapanShiogai K.
      9. AlgeriaAmoura M.
    Substitutes
      9. BelgiumBakayoko J.
    17. GermanyBaku R.
      6. NetherlandsBanzuzi E.
      5. FranceBitshiabu E.
    27. FranceGomis T.
    23. FranceLukeba C.
    33. SerbiaMaksimovic A.
    40. BrazilRomulo Cardoso
    26. BelgiumVandevoordt M. (G)
    		18. GhanaAdjetey J.
    41. GermanyBurger J.
    31. GermanyGerhardt Y.
    37. GermanyHensel P.
      4. GreeceKoulierakis K.
    29. GermanyMuller M. (G)
    17. GermanyPejcinovic D.
    32. SwedenSvanberg M.
      5. BrazilVini Souza
    Coaches
         GermanyWerner O.
    		     GermanyBauer D.

    Key Events of the Match

    • 1st Half (0 - 0)
    • 29', Gulacsi P. ↓, Vandevoordt M. ↑,
    • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
    • 48', Kumbedi S. 🟨,
    • 52', 0 - 1, Amoura M. ⚽, Daghim A. (A),
    • 60', Shiogai K. ↓, Svanberg M. ↑,
    • 63', Henrichs B. ↓, Baku R. ↑,
    • 63', Harder C. ↓, Romulo Cardoso ↑,
    • 63', Schlager X. 🟨,
    • 70', 1 - 1, Diomande Y. ⚽, Gruda B. (A),
    • 77', Muller M. 🟨,
    • 78', 1 - 2, Svanberg M. ⚽, Belocian J. (A),
    • 82', Seiwald N. ↓, Lukeba C. ↑,
    • 82', Nusa A. ↓, Bakayoko J. ↑,
    • 83', Amoura M. ↓, Koulierakis K. ↑,
    • 84', Majer L. ↓, Pejcinovic D. ↑,
    • 89', 2 - 2, Gruda B. ⚽,
    • 90+5', Daghim A. ↓, Adjetey J. ↑,

    Preview

  • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 15).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, RB Leipzig won 4.
  • RB Leipzig has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
  • Wolfsburg is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins โ€“ 1).
  • Wolfsburg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
  • Recently, RB Leipzig has had a series of away games.
  • In this match, RB Leipzig is the clear favorite.
  • There will not play in RB Leipzig: Gebel V. (Knee Injury) Ouedraogo A. (Knee Injury) Raum D. (Yellow Cards) Sani S. (Ankle Injury) Thomas A. (Muscle Injury)
  • There will not play in Wolfsburg: Cleiton (Ankle Injury) Dardai B. (Knee Injury) Fischer K. (Thigh Injury) Maehle J. (Shoulder Injury) Rogerio (Muscle Injury) Seelt J. (Illness) Wind J. (Thigh Injury)
  • There are questionable in Wolfsburg: Lindstrom J. (Illness) Paredes K. (Illness) Wimmer P. (Muscle Injury) Zehnter A. (Injury)
  • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, RB Leipzig won 11 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 34:18. (average 1.7:0.9).
  • Including home matches between the teams, RB Leipzig won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:9. (average 1.6:0.8).

    • Standings

    PlWDLDiffPts
    5RB Leipzig740320:11912

    Outrights of German Bundesliga for now
    RB Leipzig: 2.13%
    Form
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - RB Leipzig
    German DFB Pokal
    11.02.26 Bayern Munich - RB Leipzig 2:0 ✺
    German Bundesliga
    08.02.26 Kรถln - RB Leipzig 1:2 ✺
    31.01.26 RB Leipzig - Mainz 1:2 ✺
    27.01.26 St. Pauli - RB Leipzig 1:1 ✺
    24.01.26 Heidenheim - RB Leipzig 0:3 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9
    LWLTW
    - VfL Wolfsburg
    German Bundesliga
    07.02.26 Wolfsburg - Borussia Dortmund 1:2 ✺
    30.01.26 Kรถln - Wolfsburg 1:0 ✺
    24.01.26 Mainz - Wolfsburg 3:1 ✺
    17.01.26 Wolfsburg - Heidenheim 1:1 ✺
    14.01.26 Wolfsburg - St. Pauli 2:1 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9
    LLLTW
    Latest Head to Head
    German Bundesliga
    27.09.25 Wolfsburg - RB Leipzig 0:1
    11.04.25 Wolfsburg - RB Leipzig 2:3
    German DFB Pokal
    26.02.25 RB Leipzig - Wolfsburg 1:0
    German Bundesliga
    30.11.24 RB Leipzig - Wolfsburg 1:5
    13.04.24 RB Leipzig - Wolfsburg 3:0
    25.11.23 Wolfsburg - RB Leipzig 2:1
    German DFB Pokal
    31.10.23 Wolfsburg - RB Leipzig 1:0
    Upcoming Matches
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - RB Leipzig
    UEFA Champions League
    04.11.26 RB Leipzig - Manchester City ✺
    German Bundesliga
    31.10.26 Schalke 04 - RB Leipzig ✺
    - VfL Wolfsburg
    German 2 Bundesliga
    31.10.26 Wolfsburg - Osnabrรผck ✺
    German DFB Pokal
    28.10.26 Freiburg - Wolfsburg ✺

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