Match Info

Virsliga - Round 25

Date: 15 October 2026, Thursday

Location: LNK Sporta Parks (Riga)

Where to Watch on TV:


Iceland	Viaplay


	RFS		Super Nova

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.09	9.00	17.00
	1.12	7.00	12.50	Watch
	1.09	12.25	31.32
	1.13	8.1	16.5	Watch
	1.05	12.00	31.00
	1.15	7.54	15.10	Watch
	1.08	9.00	19.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.1 ↓ (1.14)	9.27 ↑ (6.55)	20.35 ↑ (12.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

RFS
85.3%

Draw
10.1%

Super Nova
4.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

79%

13.8%

7.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

RFS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in RFS's performance.

Super Nova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

RFS - Super Nova Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. RFS will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Nerugals J. (G) 6. Filipovic A. 23. Prenga H. 43. Lipuscek Z. (C) 18. Zelenkovs D. 66. Saidy M. 26. Panic S. 19. Balde A. 10. Ikaunieks J. 8. Odisharia L. 22. Lemajic D.	90. Veisbuks D. (G) 21. Tihonovics M. 20. Ndiaye I. 16. Romanovs K. 5. Cirulis J. (C) 15. Kirss R. 8. Patrikejevs I. 24. Sitjakovs R. 9. Bamba 27. Pathe N. 22. Skadmanis K.
Substitutes
49. Kigurs M. 9. Korac D. 17. Kouadio A. 99. Kumater S. 1. Matrevics R. (G) 15. Ndjiki R. 30. Njie H. 11. Savalnieks R. 5. Sliede N.	2. Augusts K. 29. Baghdasaryan A. 6. Emsis E. 7. Glaudans A. 3. Iida R. 31. Petrovics T. (G) 18. Vasilevskis M.
Coaches
Morozs V.	Rafalskis M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Lipuscek Z. ⚽, Zelenkovs D. (A),
12', 2 - 0, Balde A. ⚽, Ikaunieks J. (A),
29', Zelenkovs D. ↓, Savalnieks R. ↑,
45+1', Kirss R. 🟨,
45+2', 3 - 0, Ikaunieks J. ⚽, Lemajic D. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Prenga H. ↓, Kumater S. ↑,
46', Cirulis J. ↓, Glaudans A. ↑,
46', Kirss R. ↓, Iida R. ↑,
57', Odisharia L. ↓, Kigurs M. ↑,
65', Bamba ↓, Augusts K. ↑,
65', Patrikejevs I. ↓, Emsis E. ↑,
77', Balde A. ↓, Korac D. ↑,
77', Sitjakovs R. ↓, Baghdasaryan A. ↑,
77', Lemajic D. ↓, Kouadio A. ↑,
79', Kumater S. 🟨,
86', 4 - 0, Korac D. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, RFS won 5.

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

The betting markets point to RFS as the clear and undisputed favorite.

In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, RFS has recorded 13 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 42:9 (averaging 3.2:0.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for RFS against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 20:5 goals (averaging 3.3:0.8 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	RFS	32	25	5	2	79:24	55	80
6	Super Nova	32	11	5	16	31:45	-14	38

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK RFS
Latvian Virsliga
11.10.26	RFS - Jelgava	4:2 ✺
20.09.26	Auda Riga - RFS	1:1 ✺
13.09.26	BFC Daugavpils - RFS	1:2 ✺
07.09.26	RFS - Liepāja	0:0 ✺
Latvian Cup
03.09.26	RFS - Riga	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 WTWTL
- Super Nova FC
Latvian Virsliga
10.10.26	Super Nova - Grobiņa	2:1 ✺
20.09.26	Ogre United - Super Nova	1:0 ✺
15.09.26	Super Nova - Riga	0:1 ✺
10.09.26	Super Nova - Tukums 2000	1:0 ✺
05.09.26	Jelgava - Super Nova	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Latvian Cup
16.08.26	Super Nova - RFS	0:1
Latvian Virsliga
29.05.26	Super Nova - RFS	1:2
18.04.26	RFS - Super Nova	2:0
Club Friendly
14.01.26	RFS - Super Nova	5:2
Latvian Virsliga
02.11.25	Super Nova - RFS	1:3
10.08.25	RFS - Super Nova	4:1
14.06.25	RFS - Super Nova	2:1

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