Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 35

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio El Sardinero (Santander)

Referee: Sanchez R. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 3
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio
Israel	ONE Sport 2
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 7
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	CANAL+ Now
Portugal	DAZN 2, DAZN / App
Serbia	Arena Sport 1x2
Singapore	beIN Sport 1, beIN SPORTS MAX
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Racing Santander		Almería

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.6	2.7	Watch
	2.35	3.55	2.68	Watch
	2.44	3.65	2.88
	2.32	3.68	2.85	Watch
	2.38	3.3	2.75
	2.31	3.62	2.91	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 (2.36)	3.57 ↑ (3.46)	2.8 ↓ (2.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Racing Santander
39.9%

Draw
26.4%

Almería
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

27.3%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

28.5%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Racing Santander has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Almería has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing Santander than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almería than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	12.5%	50%

Racing Santander - Almería Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Racing will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Almería will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Almería: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Eriksson S. (G) 5. Castro J. 4. Manu 21. Ramon P. 3. Garcia M. 14. Gueye M. 19. Puerta G. 11. Martin A. 18. Canales P. 10. Vicente I. (C) 7. Guliashvili G.	1. Fernandez A. (G) 16. Luna M. 4. Monte N. 18. Bonini F. 3. Munoz A. 14. Baba I. 17. Lopy D. 11. Arribas S. 10. Melamed N. 23. Embarba A. (C) 24. de la Fuente M.
Substitutes
8. Aldasoro A. 9. Arana J. 33. Calera S. 20. Camara S. 44. Chino 1. Ezkieta J. (G) 16. Gonzalez F. 17. Mata J. 23. Rodriguez D. 6. Sainz-Maza I. 15. Sangalli M. 12. Villalibre A.	20. Centelles A. 22. Chirino D. 21. Chumi 29. Dzodic S. 6. Horta A. 31. Iribarne B. (G) 13. Martinez F. (G) 7. Morcillo J. 2. Puigmal A. 5. Rodrigo Ely 19. Soko P. 9. Thalys
Coaches
Lopez J.	Rubi

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Embarba A. ⚽, Luna M. (A),
19', Monte N. 🟨,
21', 1 - 1, Martin A. ⚽, Manu (A),
23', Manu 🟨,
28', 2 - 1, Vicente I. ⚽, Martin A. (A),
45', Martin A. 🟨,
45+5', Lopy D. 🟥,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Melamed N. ↓, Puigmal A. ↑,
46', Baba I. ↓, Dzodic S. ↑,
50', Guliashvili G. 🟨,
61', Luna M. 🟨,
63', Ramon P. 🟨,
71', de la Fuente M. ↓, Soko P. ↑,
71', Arribas S. ↓, Horta A. ↑,
72', Ramon P. ↓, Sangalli M. ↑,
72', Guliashvili G. ↓, Villalibre A. ↑,
75', Garcia M. 🟥,
79', 3 - 1, Villalibre A. ⚽, Vicente I. (A),
80', Vicente I. ↓, Camara S. ↑,
82', 4 - 1, Canales P. ⚽, Sangalli M. (A),
83', Embarba A. ↓, Morcillo J. ↑,
88', 5 - 1, Sangalli M. ⚽, Canales P. (A),
89', Puerta G. ↓, Sainz-Maza I. ↑,
89', Martin A. ↓, Rodriguez D. ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Racing won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Racing: Lozano M. (Knee Injury) Sainz-Maza I. (Injury) Salinas J. (Red Card)

There will not play in Almería: Leo Baptistao (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Almería: Baba I. (Injury) Gui Guedes (Muscle Injury)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Racing won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:14. (average 1.6:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Racing won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:8. (average 1.8:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Almeria	8	6	0	2	13:5	8	18

Last Results with these Odds

Racing Santander - the odds 2.36 are the expected chance of winning is 40.02%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Almería - the odds 2.89 are the expected chance of winning is 32.68%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Santander
Spanish LaLiga2
05.04.26	FC Andorra - Racing Santander	6:2 ✺
01.04.26	Racing Santander - Sporting de Gijón	3:1 ✺
29.03.26	Zaragoza - Racing Santander	2:0 ✺
21.03.26	Racing Santander - Albacete Balompié	0:4 ✺
14.03.26	Leonesa - Racing Santander	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWLLW
- UD Almería
Spanish LaLiga2
05.04.26	Almería - Leganés	2:1 ✺
02.04.26	Castellón - Almería	2:0 ✺
29.03.26	Almería - Real Sociedad B	5:1 ✺
20.03.26	Huesca - Almería	1:3 ✺
14.03.26	Zaragoza - Almería	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
07.09.25	Almería - Racing Santander	2:3
18.05.25	Almería - Racing Santander	2:0
18.08.24	Racing Santander - Almería	2:2
07.02.20	Almería - Racing Santander	0:1
24.08.19	Racing Santander - Almería	1:1
Spanish Copa del Rey
14.01.14	Almería - Racing Santander	0:2
08.01.14	Racing Santander - Almería	1:1

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