Match Info

Ekstraklasa - Round 3

Date: 8 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadion im. Braci Czachorów (Radom)

Referee: Kochanek M. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5P
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Croatia	Arena Sport 3
Czech-republic	Strike, Strike
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
Ukraine	Sport 1
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Radomiak Radom		Górnik Zabrze

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.3	2.5	Watch
	2.65	3.50	2.45
	2.62	3.3	2.52
	2.76	3.43	2.62
	2.75	3.45	2.54	Watch
	2.7	3.35	2.55
	2.69	3.41	2.58	Watch
	2.6	3.35	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↑ (2.36)	3.39 ↑ (3.18)	2.54 ↓ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Radomiak Radom
35.2%

Draw
27.8%

Górnik Zabrze
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

27.8%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

27.4%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Radomiak Radom has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Górnik Zabrze has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Radomiak Radom than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Górnik Zabrze than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Radomiak Radom - Górnik Zabrze Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Radomiak will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Górnik Zabrze will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Górnik Zabrze: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Radomiak (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Majchrowicz F. (G) 24. Zie Ouattara 3. Szczesniak K. 26. Dieguez A. 97. Conrado 8. Camara I. 13. Grzesik J. 27. Wolski R. (C) 82. Luquinhas 7. Nunnely C. 11. Goure F.	1. Schulze P. (G) 61. Sacek M. 26. Janicki R. (C) 4. Bochniewicz P. 21. Zmrzly O. 66. Dietz M. 19. Peter Federico 82. Urbanski K. 8. Bernardo P. 33. Khlan M. 23. Liseth S.
Substitutes
28. Baro R. 5. Blasco J. 77. Donis C. 99. Gradecki B. (G) 23. Karasek K. 47. Kilianek S. 72. Koperski F. 90. Lumungo R. 18. Manu 15. Tapsoba A. 17. Zabicki A.	28. Donio B. 34. Durdov B. 7. Ikia Dimi Y. 88. Ismaheel T. 64. Janza E. 20. Josema 99. Loska T. (G) 15. Massimo R. 11. Prekop E. 18. Sadilek L. 2. Warczak P.
Coaches
Kaczmarek T.	Gasparik M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
28', 0 - 1, Peter Federico ⚽,
43', Camara I. 🟨,
45+2', Conrado 🟨,
45+4', 0 - 2, Urbanski K. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Nunnely C. ↓, Lumungo R. ↑,
46', Goure F. ↓, Tapsoba A. ↑,
56', Dieguez A. 🟨,
58', Peter Federico 🟨,
60', Dietz M. 🟨,
64', 0 - 3, Peter Federico ⚽,
65', Schulze P. 🟨,
67', 1 - 3, Wolski R. (Penalty Awarded),
70', Tapsoba A. 🟨,
70', Bernardo P. ↓, Sadilek L. ↑,
70', Dietz M. ↓, Donio B. ↑,
71', Peter Federico ↓, Ismaheel T. ↑,
71', Liseth S. 🟨,
74', Dieguez A. ↓, Koperski F. ↑,
74', Zie Ouattara ↓, Manu ↑,
80', Khlan M. ↓, Ikia Dimi Y. ↑,
85', Camara I. ↓, Karasek K. ↑,
89', Liseth S. ↓, Prekop E. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Radomiak won 2.

Radomiak has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Górnik Zabrze's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Radomiak may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Radomiak: Cichocki M. (Inactive) Kingue S. (Inactive)

There will not play in Górnik Zabrze: Kubicki J. (Arm Injury)

There are questionable in Radomiak: Baro R. (Inactive)

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Radomiak won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:17. (average 1.2:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Radomiak won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.4:1.2).

Outrights of Polish Ekstraklasa for now

Gornik Zabrze: 20.78% Radomiak Radom: 0.83%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Gornik Zabrze	10	8	1	1	19:9	10	25
15	Radomiak Radom	9	2	2	5	7:20	-13	8

Last Results with these Odds

Radomiak Radom - the odds 2.36 are the expected chance of winning is 37.49%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Górnik Zabrze - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 34.69%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Radomiak Radom
Polish Ekstraklasa
02.08.26	GKS Katowice - Radomiak Radom	3:1 ✺
24.07.26	Radomiak Radom - Wieczysta Kraków	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
18.07.26	Radomiak Radom - Pogoń Siedlce	1:2 ✺
17.07.26	Radomiak Radom - Legia II	2:1 ✺
14.07.26	Legia Warsaw - Radomiak Radom	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWLWL
- Górnik Zabrze
UEFA Europa League
05.08.26	Ferencvárosi - Górnik Zabrze	1:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
29.07.26	Górnik Zabrze - Fenerbahçe	1:1 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
25.07.26	Górnik Zabrze - Śląsk Wrocław	2:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
21.07.26	Fenerbahçe - Górnik Zabrze	1:0 ✺
Polish Super Cup
16.07.26	Lech Poznań - Górnik Zabrze	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
23.05.26	Górnik Zabrze - Radomiak Radom	6:2
28.11.25	Radomiak Radom - Górnik Zabrze	4:0
15.02.25	Górnik Zabrze - Radomiak Radom	3:2
Polish Cup
25.09.24	Górnik Zabrze - Radomiak Radom	0:1 ET
Polish Ekstraklasa
09.08.24	Radomiak Radom - Górnik Zabrze	1:2
09.12.23	Radomiak Radom - Górnik Zabrze	1:1
23.07.23	Górnik Zabrze - Radomiak Radom	0:2

Upcoming Matches