Match Info

Ekstraklasa - Round 29

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadion im. Braci Czachorów (Radom)

Referee: Przybyl J. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5
Canada	beIN Connect
Croatia	Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz


	Radomiak Radom		Widzew Łódź

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.1	2.2	Watch
	3.1	3.1	2.28	Watch
	3.37	3.25	2.35
	3.32	3.24	2.29	Watch
	3.2	3	2.25
	3.3	3.2	2.29	Watch
	2.28	3.18	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.1 ↑ (2.28)	3.15 ↓ (3.18)	2.33 ↓ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Radomiak Radom
30.2%

Draw
29.7%

Widzew Łódź
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.8%

27.8%

33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1%

28.7%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Radomiak Radom has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Radomiak Radom's form might have worsened.

Widzew Łódź has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Widzew Łódź's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Radomiak Radom than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Radomiak Radom, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Widzew Łódź than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Widzew Łódź, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Radomiak Radom - Widzew Łódź Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Radomiak will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Widzew will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Radomiak: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Radomiak (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Majchrowicz F. (G) 24. Zie Ouattara 5. Blasco J. 14. Kingue S. 13. Grzesik J. 27. Wolski R. (C) 77. Donis C. 82. Luquinhas 21. Balde E. 7. Lopes V. 15. Tapsoba A.	1. Dragowski B. (G) 2. Isaac C. 25. Wisniewski P. 53. Kapuadi S. 3. Kozlovsky S. 10. Alvarez F. 18. Selahi L. 6. Shehu J. (C) 8. Kornvig E. 99. Bergier S. 7. Fornalczyk M.
Substitutes
10. Alves R. 6. Baro R. 2. Camara I. 16. Cichocki M. 75. Jerke M. (G) 20. Joao Pedro 28. Kaput M. 44. Koptas W. (G) 9. Leandro 25. Maurides 19. Soumah S. 17. Zabicki A.	5. Andreou S. 77. Baena Perez A. 22. Bukari O. 30. Ilic V. (G) 98. Kikolski M. (G) 91. Krajewski M. 21. Lerager L. 19. Pawlowski B. 14. Visus R. 9. Zeqiri A. 4. Zyro M.
Coaches
Baltazar B.	Vukovic A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
35', Balde E. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
59', 0 - 1, Donis C. (Own goal),
59', Balde E. ↓, Soumah S. ↑,
62', Camara I. 🟨,
68', Shehu J. ↓, Lerager L. ↑,
70', Lopes V. ↓, Alves R. ↑,
70', Tapsoba A. ↓, Maurides ↑,
75', Wolski R. 🟨,
83', 1 - 1, Alves R. ⚽,
86', Fornalczyk M. ↓, Bukari O. ↑,
86', Zie Ouattara 🟨,
86', Zyro M. 🟨,
90+3', 2 - 1, Luquinhas ⚽,
90+5', Isaac C. ↓, Zyro M. ↑,
90+6', Wolski R. ↓, Camara I. ↑,
90+7', Wisniewski P. 🟨,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 15 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Radomiak won 1.

Radomiak has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Widzew is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Radomiak: Alves R. (Groin Injury) Dieguez A. (Yellow Cards) Molendowski M. (Inactive) Wilson-Esbrand J. (Inactive)

There will not play in Widzew: Bukari O. (Inactive) Cheng C. (Ankle Injury)

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Radomiak won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 21:16. (average 1.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Radomiak won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.7:1.3).

Outrights of Polish Ekstraklasa for now

Radomiak Radom: 0.83% Widzew Lodz: 0.83%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Widzew Lodz	9	1	6	2	13:13	0	9
15	Radomiak Radom	9	2	2	5	7:20	-13	8

Last Results with these Odds

Widzew Łódź - the odds 2.65 are the expected chance of winning is 33.38%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Radomiak Radom
Polish Ekstraklasa
11.04.26	Zagłębie Lubin - Radomiak Radom	0:2 ET ✺
06.04.26	Radomiak Radom - Motor Lublin	1:1 ✺
20.03.26	Piast Gliwice - Radomiak Radom	3:1 ✺
13.03.26	Radomiak Radom - Legia Warsaw	1:1 ✺
08.03.26	Radomiak Radom - GKS Katowice	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WTLTL
- Widzew Łódź
Polish Ekstraklasa
11.04.26	Widzew Łódź - Termalica Nieciecza	1:0 ✺
04.04.26	Raków Częstochowa - Widzew Łódź	1:1 ✺
22.03.26	Widzew Łódź - Górnik Zabrze	0:0 ✺
15.03.26	Arka Gdynia - Widzew Łódź	0:0 ✺
07.03.26	Widzew Łódź - Lech Poznań	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
17.10.25	Widzew Łódź - Radomiak Radom	3:2
28.02.25	Radomiak Radom - Widzew Łódź	1:1
23.08.24	Widzew Łódź - Radomiak Radom	3:2
25.05.24	Radomiak Radom - Widzew Łódź	1:3
02.12.23	Widzew Łódź - Radomiak Radom	0:3
21.05.23	Radomiak Radom - Widzew Łódź	3:1
06.11.22	Widzew Łódź - Radomiak Radom	1:3

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