Match Info

Championship - Round 26

Date: 20 February 2026, Friday

Location: Stark's Park (Kirkcaldy)

Referee: Hardie R. (Sco)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	SPOTV Asia
Australia	beIN Connect
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5
India	Vision+
Indonesia	SPOTV, Vidio
Malaysia	Astro Go
Mongolia	SPOTV
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Philippines	SPOTV
Scotland	BBC Scotland
South-korea	SPOTV
Thailand	SPOTV
United-kingdom	BBC iPlayer, BBC Sport app, BBC Sport, Saints TV
Usa	Paramount+
Vietnam	SPOTV


	Raith Rovers		St. Johnstone

	1	X	2
	4	3.2	1.8	Watch
	3.7	3.2	2	Watch
	3.87	3.28	2.06
	3.87	3.37	1.97	Watch
	3.8	3.1	2
	3.76	3.14	1.94	Watch
	3.8	3.14	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.83 ↑ (3.45)	3.2 ↓ (3.3)	1.97 ↓ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Raith Rovers
24.1%

Draw
28.9%

St. Johnstone
47%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.5%

27.7%

45.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.4%

26.6%

47.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Raith Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

St. Johnstone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raith Rovers than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Johnstone than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	20%	80%

Raith Rovers - St. Johnstone Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. St. Johnstone will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. St. Johnstone (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rae J. (G) 22. Doherty J. 4. Hanlon P. 6. O'Connor D. 26. Stevenson L. 8. Matthews R. 20. Brown S. (C) 10. Vaughan L. 11. Cameron I. 23. Easton D. 9. Hamilton J.	1. Steward T. (G) 33. Smith L. 3. Diabate C. 4. Boyes M. 35. Forrester A. 7. Holt J. (C) 42. McAlear R. 10. Gullan J. 11. Stanton S. 21. Fotheringham K. 9. Fowler J.
Substitutes
7. Chin R. 17. Gibson L. 24. Glavin A. (G) 25. Montagu K. 14. Mullin J. 29. Nsio P. 2. Rowe J. 3. Wilson E. 19. Winter A.	27. Agyeman A. 15. Baird J. 14. Foulds M. 17. Lloyd L. 22. Mallan S. 18. Paton R. 20. Sinclair R. (G) 19. Steven T. 8. Svedberg J.
Coaches
Imrie D.	Valakari S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
30', Brown S. 🟨,
45', Hamilton J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Fotheringham K. ↓, Paton R. ↑,
69', Matthews R. 🟨,
69', Cameron I. ↓, Mullin J. ↑,
74', Matthews R. ↓, Rowe J. ↑,
75', Stanton S. ↓, Agyeman A. ↑,
77', Stevenson L. 🟨,
82', Brown S. ↓, Montagu K. ↑,
82', Vaughan L. ↓, Nsio P. ↑,
87', Rae J. 🟨,
90+5', Easton D. 🟨,

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Raith may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Raith has had a series of away games.

Recently, St. Johnstone has had a series of home games.

St. Johnstone could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Raith won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:9. (average 0.6:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Raith won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.7:2).

Outrights of Scottish Football Championship for now

Raith: 19.82%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Raith	10	6	2	2	15:6	9	20

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Raith Rovers
Scottish Football Championship
14.02.26	Greenock Morton - Raith Rovers	0:0 ✺
31.01.26	Ayr United - Raith Rovers	2:1 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
27.01.26	Queens Park - Raith Rovers	1:2 penalties ✺
Scottish Football Championship
24.01.26	Raith Rovers - Queens Park	4:1 ✺
Scottish Cup
18.01.26	Aberdeen - Raith Rovers	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TLWWL
- St. Johnstone FC
Scottish Challenge Cup
17.02.26	St. Johnstone - Ayr United	3:4 penalties ✺
Scottish Football Championship
13.02.26	Airdrieonians - St. Johnstone	0:1 ✺
30.01.26	St. Johnstone - Partick Thistle	2:2 ✺
24.01.26	St. Johnstone - Dunfermline Athletic	0:1 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
13.01.26	St. Johnstone - Ross County	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Football Championship
06.12.25	St. Johnstone - Raith Rovers	0:0
13.09.25	Raith Rovers - St. Johnstone	0:2
Scottish League Cup
22.07.25	St. Johnstone - Raith Rovers	3:1
Club Friendly
12.07.14	Raith Rovers - St. Johnstone	1:1
Scottish Cup
08.03.14	Raith Rovers - St. Johnstone	1:3

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