Match Info

EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 8 August 2023, Tuesday

Location: Miejski Stadion Piłkarski Raków (Częstochowa)

Referee: Strukan D. (Cro)

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovakia	Arena sport 2


	Raków Częstochowa		Aris

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.6	3.6	Watch
	1.95	3.4	4
	1.94	3.4	4
	1.99	3.4	3.8
	2	3.45	4.08
	1.91	3.2	3.5
	1.94	3.48	3.92
	2	3.4	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.93)	3.42 ↑ (3.38)	3.88 ↓ (3.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Raków Częstochowa
48.1%

Draw
27.6%

Aris
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.5%

27.6%

23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

28.1%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Raków Częstochowa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Aris has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raków Częstochowa than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aris than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.5%	10%	17.5%

Raków Częstochowa - Aris Predictions

Users Predictions: 40 users predict this event. Raków will win (votes: 29 - 72.5%). Aris will win (votes: 7 - 17.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Raków: 58.7% – 86.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kovacevic V. (G) 25. Racovitan B. 24. Arsenic Z. (C) 4. Svarnas S. 7. Tudor F. 66. Papanikolaou G. 5. Berggren G. 20. Silva J. 30. Kochergin V. 99. Piasecki F. 77. Cebula M.	1. Vana (C) 6. Boakye E. 31. Brorsson F. 20. Yago S. 3. Caju 37. Szoke J. 23. Struski K. 21. Mayambela M. 14. Gomis Y. 7. Bengtsson L. 80. Babicka S.
Substitutes
6. Czyz S. 21. Drachal D. 93. Kittel S. 15. Kovacevic A. 8. Lederman B. 27. Nowak B. 14. Plavsic S. 22. Sorescu D. 12. Tsiftsis A. (G) 9. Zwolinski L.	8. Brown M. 78. Chrysostomou K. (G) 12. Dimitriou A. 66. Montnor J. 5. Moucketou-Moussounda A. 22. Nikolic V. 90. Sofroniou E. (G) 10. Spoljaric M. 11. Stepinski M. 72. Urosevic S.
Coaches
Szwarga D.	Shpilevski A.

Preview

1st leg.

Raków is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Aris is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Raków could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Raków is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Raków to win the game is with odds 1.69.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Raków Częstochowa
Polish Ekstraklasa
05.08.23	Raków Częstochowa - Warta Poznań	2:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
02.08.23	Qarabağ Agdam - Raków Częstochowa	1:1 ✺
26.07.23	Raków Częstochowa - Qarabağ Agdam	3:2 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
22.07.23	Raków Częstochowa - Jagiellonia Białystok	3:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
18.07.23	Flora Tallinn - Raków Częstochowa	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TTWWW
- Aris Thessaloniki
UEFA Europa Conference League
03.08.23	Aris - Ararat-Armenia	1:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
01.08.23	BATE Borisov - Aris	3:5 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.07.23	Ararat-Armenia - Aris	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
26.07.23	Aris - BATE Borisov	6:2 ✺
Club Friendly
20.07.23	Aris - Ethnikos Achna	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWTWW

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