Match Info

Conference League - League phase - Round 4

Date: 27 November 2025, Thursday

Location: ArcelorMittal Park (Sosnowiec)

Referee: Strukan D. (Cro)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Raków Częstochowa		Rapid Wien

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.25	4.5
	1.85	3.45	4.15
	1.93	3.45	4.47
	1.88	3.42	4.28	Watch
	1.92	3.48	4.47
	1.87	3.33	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (1.9)	3.4 ↓ (3.43)	4.37 ↑ (4.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Raków Częstochowa
50.4%

Draw
27.9%

Rapid Wien
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

27.7%

22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8%

26.7%

21.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Raków Częstochowa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Rapid Wien has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raków Częstochowa than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rapid Wien than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.7%	26.9%	15.4%

Raków Częstochowa - Rapid Wien Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Raków will win (votes: 15 - 57.7%). Rapid will win (votes: 4 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 26.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Raków: 38.7% – 76.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Raków (votes: 3 - 30%). Rapid (votes: 4 - 40%). Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
48. Zych O. (G) 7. Tudor F. (C) 25. Racovitan B. 4. Svarnas S. 19. Ameyaw M. 88. Barath P. 6. Repka O. 11. Adriano 80. Diaby-Fadiga L. 18. Brunes J. 9. Makuch P.	25. Gartler P. (G) 61. Demir F. 20. Ahoussou A. 55. Cvetkovic N. (C) 38. Horn J. 17. Gulliksen T. 29. Amane R. 14. Ndzie M. 23. Auer J. 90. Antiste J. 9. Kara E.
Substitutes
5. Bulat M. 66. Konstantopoulos A. 10. Lopez I. 39. Madrzyk J. (G) 44. Mircetic B. 8. Pienko T. 99. Rondic I. 97. Seck I. 1. Trelowski K. (G)	36. Brunnhofer J. 10. Dahl P. 51. Goschl B. (G) 47. Groller A. 1. Hedl N. (G) 49. Radulovic A. 42. Roka E. 21. Schaub L. 18. Seidl M. 7. Tilio M. 41. Weixelbraun D. 15. Wurmbrand N.
Coaches
Papszun M.	Stoger P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, Brunes J. (Pen),
40', 2 - 0, Diaby-Fadiga L. ⚽, Brunes J. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Tudor F. ↓, Konstantopoulos A. ↑,
51', 3 - 0, Diaby-Fadiga L. ⚽, Adriano (A),
53', 4 - 0, Diaby-Fadiga L. ⚽,
60', Makuch P. 🟨,
61', Diaby-Fadiga L. ↓, Pienko T. ↑,
61', Adriano ↓, Bulat M. ↑,
65', Gulliksen T. ↓, Schaub L. ↑,
65', Ndzie M. ↓, Seidl M. ↑,
65', Kara E. ↓, Wurmbrand N. ↑,
74', Brunes J. ↓, Lopez I. ↑,
75', 4 - 1, Antiste J. ⚽, Auer J. (A),
81', Demir F. ↓, Roka E. ↑,
81', Cvetkovic N. ↓, Groller A. ↑,
87', Repka O. ↓, Mircetic B. ↑,
90+1', Schaub L. 🟨,
90+2', Horn J. 🟨,

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium - ArcelorMittal Park.

Raków is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Rapid's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Raków is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Raków: Arsenic Z. (Leg Injury) Kochergin V. (Knee Injury) Otieno E. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There will not play in Rapid: Bischof N. (Ankle Injury) Borkeeiet T. (Knee Injury) M'Buyi C. (Muscle Injury) Marcelin J. (Hamstring Injury) Scholler J. M. (Shoulder Injury) Strunz O. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Raków: Ameyaw M. (Injury) Mosor A. (Inactive) Silva J. C. (Injury)

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Last Results with these Odds

Raków Częstochowa - the odds 1.9 are the expected chance of winning is 49.93%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Raków Częstochowa
Polish Ekstraklasa
22.11.25	Raków Częstochowa - Piast Gliwice	1:3 ✺
09.11.25	Korona Kielce - Raków Częstochowa	1:4 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
06.11.25	Sparta Prague - Raków Częstochowa	0:0 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
02.11.25	Jagiellonia Białystok - Raków Częstochowa	1:2 ✺
Polish Cup
29.10.25	Raków Częstochowa - Cracovia	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 LWTWW
- Rapid Wien
Austrian Bundesliga
23.11.25	Rapid Wien - Grazer AK	1:2 ✺
09.11.25	Swarovski Tirol - Rapid Wien	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
06.11.25	Rapid Wien - Universitatea Craiova	0:1 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
02.11.25	Rapid Wien - Sturm Graz	2:1 ✺
Austrian OFB Cup
29.10.25	St. Pölten - Rapid Wien	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LTLWW

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