Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 3

Date: 26 October 2023, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	SuperSport
Brazil	13:45	ESPN 3
Finland	19:45	Viaplay
Norway	18:45	Viaplay
Poland	18:45	Viaplay
Portugal	17:45	Sport TV
Sweden	18:45	Viaplay


	Raków Częstochowa		Sporting Lisbon

	1	X	2
	7	4.33	1.5
	6.5	4.33	1.49
	7.1	4.35	1.5	Watch
	7.4	4.5	1.51
	6.82	4.34	1.51
	7	4.4	1.44
	7.1	4.4	1.48
	6.6	4.4	1.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.94 ↑ (4.02)	4.38 ↑ (3.73)	1.49 ↓ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Raków Częstochowa
13.8%

Draw
21.9%

Sporting Lisbon
64.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

23.6%

25.4%

51%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23%

24.8%

52.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Raków Częstochowa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Raków Częstochowa's form might have worsened.

Sporting Lisbon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sporting Lisbon's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raków Częstochowa than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Raków Częstochowa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Lisbon than the current prediction. (-12.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sporting Lisbon, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
4.1%	2%	93.9%

Raków Częstochowa - Sporting Lisbon Predictions

Users Predictions: Sporting Lisbon will win (92 of 98 users predict this - 93.88%).
Confidence interval (95%): 89.13% – 98.63%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kovacevic V. (G) 25. Racovitan B. 24. Arsenic Z. (C) 3. Rundic M. 7. Tudor F. 30. Kochergin V. 5. Berggren G. 14. Plavsic S. 77. Cebula M. 19. Crnac A. 11. Yeboah J.	12. Israel F. (G) 26. Diomande O. 25. Inacio G. 4. Coates S. (C) 47. Esgaio R. 5. Morita H. 42. Hjulmand M. 2. Matheus Reis 10. Edwards M. 9. Gyokeres V. 8. Goncalves P.
Substitutes
93. Kittel S. 15. Kovacevic A. 8. Lederman B. 28. Malamis P. 27. Nowak B. 66. Papanikolaou G. 99. Piasecki F. 20. Silva J. C. 12. Tsiftsis A. (G)	1. Adan A. (G) 23. Braganca D. 21. Catamo G. 41. Diego Callai (G) 14. Essugo D. 22. Fresneda I. 13. Neto 20. Paulinho 72. Quaresma E. 11. Santos N. 17. Trincao
Coaches
Szwarga D.	Amorim R.

Preview

Recent matches Raków is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sporting is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Sporting is a favorite.

There will not play in Raków: Gryszkiewicz A. (Muscle Injury) Lopez I. (Knee Injury) Svarnas S. (Muscle Injury) Zwolinski L. (Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Raków Częstochowa
Polish Ekstraklasa
22.10.23	Górnik Zabrze - Raków Częstochowa	2:1 ✺
08.10.23	Legia Warsaw - Raków Częstochowa	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
05.10.23	Raków Częstochowa - Sturm Graz	0:1 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
01.10.23	Raków Częstochowa - Radomiak Radom	3:0 ✺
28.09.23	Lech Poznań - Raków Częstochowa	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWLWL
- Sporting Lisbon
Taça de Portugal
21.10.23	Olivais e Moscavide - Sporting Lisbon	1:3 ✺
Liga Portugal
08.10.23	Sporting Lisbon - Arouca	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
05.10.23	Sporting Lisbon - Atalanta	1:2 ✺
Liga Portugal
30.09.23	Farense - Sporting Lisbon	2:3 ✺
25.09.23	Sporting Lisbon - Rio Ave	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWLWW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Raków Częstochowa
Polish Ekstraklasa
02.11.26	Raków Częstochowa - Pogoń Szczecin	✺
- Sporting Lisbon
UEFA Champions League
03.11.26	Shakhtar Donetsk - Sporting Lisbon	✺
Liga Portugal
30.10.26	Casa Pia - Sporting Lisbon	✺

Raków Częstochowa - Sporting Lisbon