Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 2

Date: 5 October 2023, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: ArcelorMittal Park (Sosnowiec) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Aghayev A. (Aze)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	03:45	Stan Sport
Austria	18:45	Sky Sport
Finland	19:45	Viaplay
Norway	18:45	Viaplay
Poland	18:45	Viaplay
Serbia	18:45	Arena Sport
Sweden	18:45	Viaplay
United Kingdom	17:45	TNT Sports


	Raków Częstochowa		Sturm Graz

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.25	3.1
	2.3	3.2	3.25
	2.35	3.3	3.25	Watch
	2.3	3.3	3.2
	2.33	3.3	3.39
	2.38	3.3	3
	2.32	3.28	3.24
	2.33	3.3	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↓ (2.42)	3.28 ↓ (3.36)	3.21 ↑ (2.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Raków Częstochowa
41.1%

Draw
29.1%

Sturm Graz
29.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.3%

28.3%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

28.4%

32.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Raków Częstochowa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Sturm Graz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Raków Częstochowa than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sturm Graz than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.8%	31.6%	31.6%

Raków Częstochowa - Sturm Graz Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Raków will win (votes: 7 - 36.8%). Sturm will win (votes: 6 - 31.6%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 31.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Raków: 15.1% – 58.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kovacevic V. (G) 25. Racovitan B. 15. Kovacevic A. 3. Rundic M. 7. Tudor F. (C) 66. Papanikolaou G. 30. Kochergin V. 14. Plavsic S. 77. Cebula M. 99. Piasecki F. 93. Kittel S.	1. Scherpen K. (G) 22. Gazibegovic J. 42. Affengruber D. 5. Wuthrich G. 44. Dante A. 25. Hierlander S. (C) 4. Gorenc Stankovic J. 8. Prass A. 10. Kiteishvili O. 15. Boving W. 9. Wlodarczyk S.
Substitutes
5. Berggren G. 19. Crnac A. 8. Lederman B. 27. Nowak B. 22. Sorescu D. 12. Tsiftsis A. (G) 11. Yeboah J. 9. Zwolinski L.	6. Borkovic A. 29. Fuseini M. 19. Horvat T. 20. Jatta S. 2. Johnston M. 24. Lavalee D. 31. Maric L. (G) 43. Obi T. (G) 11. Sarkaria M. 14. Serrano J. 21. Stuckler S. 17. Teixeira B.
Coaches
Szwarga D.	Ilzer C.

Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Raków could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Raków: Arsenic Z. (Toe Injury) Gryszkiewicz A. (Knee Injury) Lopez I. (Knee Injury) Svarnas S. (Muscle Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Raków Częstochowa
Polish Ekstraklasa
01.10.23	Raków Częstochowa - Radomiak Radom	3:0 ✺
28.09.23	Lech Poznań - Raków Częstochowa	4:1 ✺
24.09.23	Ruch Chorzów - Raków Częstochowa	3:5 ✺
UEFA Europa League
21.09.23	Atalanta - Raków Częstochowa	2:0 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
16.09.23	Raków Częstochowa - ŁKS Łódź	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WLWLW
- Sturm Graz
Austrian Bundesliga
01.10.23	Sturm Graz - Swarovski Tirol	1:0 ✺
Austrian OFB Cup
27.09.23	Leobendorf - Sturm Graz	0:3 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
24.09.23	Rapid Wien - Sturm Graz	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
21.09.23	Sturm Graz - Sporting Lisbon	1:2 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
16.09.23	Sturm Graz - Red Bull Salzburg	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWTLT

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Raków Częstochowa
Polish Ekstraklasa
02.11.26	Raków Częstochowa - Pogoń Szczecin	✺
- Sturm Graz
Austrian Bundesliga
01.11.26	Wolfsberger - Sturm Graz	✺
Austrian OFB Cup
29.10.26	Austria Lustenau - Sturm Graz	✺

Raków Częstochowa - Sturm Graz