Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA LEAGUE - PLAY OFFS - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 6 March 2024, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estádio José Alvalade (Lisbon) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Siebert D. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	04:45	Stan Sport
Bosnia And Herzegovina	18:45	Arena Sport
Brazil	14:45	ESPN 4
Bulgaria	19:45	Max Sport 3
Croatia	18:45	Arena Sport
Czech Republic	18:45	Sport 1
Denmark	18:45	TV2 Sport X
Finland	19:45	Viaplay, V Sport 2
Italy	18:45	Sky Sport, Sky Sport Uno
Netherlands	18:45	ESPN
Norway	18:45	Viaplay
Poland	18:45	Viaplay
Portugal	17:45	Sport TV
Serbia	18:45	Arena Sport
Sweden	18:45	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
United Kingdom	17:45	TNT Sports


	Sporting Lisbon		Atalanta

	1	X	2
	2	3.6	3.6
	2	3.5	3.6
	2.05	3.65	3.65	Watch
	2.04	3.6	3.72
	2.03	3.6	3.72
	1.95	3.7	3.6
	2.05	3.82	3.75
	2.04	3.65	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (2.17)	3.64 ↑ (3.6)	3.66 ↑ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sporting Lisbon
47.5%

Draw
26.3%

Atalanta
26.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

43.6%

26.3%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.1%

27.2%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting Lisbon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Atalanta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Lisbon than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atalanta than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.3%	7.8%	7.8%

Sporting Lisbon - Atalanta Predictions

Users Predictions: Sporting Lisbon will win (43 of 51 users predict this - 84.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.33% – 94.29%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Israel F. (G) 72. Quaresma E. 4. Coates S. (C) 26. Diomande O. 21. Catamo G. 80. Koindredi K. 5. Morita H. 2. Matheus Reis 10. Edwards M. 20. Paulinho 17. Trincao	1. Musso J. (G) 19. Djimsiti B. 4. Hien I. 23. Kolasinac S. 3. Holm E. 15. De Roon M. (C) 13. Ederson 22. Ruggeri M. 59. Miranchuk Al. 90. Scamacca G. 11. Lookman A.
Substitutes
23. Braganca D. 47. Esgaio R. 22. Fresneda I. 9. Gyokeres V. 42. Hjulmand M. 13. Neto 51. Pinto Diogo (G) 57. Quenda G. 45. Rafael 11. Santos N. 99. Silva F. (G) 3. St. Juste J.	25. Adopo M. 20. Bakker M. 29. Carnesecchi M. (G) 17. De Ketelaere C. 33. Hateboer H. 7. Koopmeiners T. 8. Pasalic M. 42. Scalvini G. 2. Toloi R. 10. Toure E. B. 40. Vismara P. (G) 77. Zappacosta D.
Coaches
Amorim R.	Gasperini G.

Preview

1st leg.

Sporting is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Atalanta is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Atalanta could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Sporting will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Sporting: Adan A. (Thigh Injury) Inacio G. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Sporting: Goncalves P. (Rest) Trincao (Foot Injury)

There are questionable in Atalanta: Rossi F. (Injury)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Sporting won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Sporting won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting Lisbon
Liga Portugal
03.03.24	Sporting Lisbon - Farense	3:2 ✺
Taça de Portugal
29.02.24	Sporting Lisbon - Benfica	2:1 ✺
Liga Portugal
25.02.24	Rio Ave - Sporting Lisbon	3:3 ✺
UEFA Europa League
22.02.24	Sporting Lisbon - Young Boys	1:1 ✺
Liga Portugal
19.02.24	Moreirense - Sporting Lisbon	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWTTW
- Atalanta
Italian Serie A
03.03.24	Atalanta - Bologna	1:2 ✺
28.02.24	Inter Milan - Atalanta	4:0 ✺
25.02.24	Milan - Atalanta	1:1 ✺
17.02.24	Atalanta - Sassuolo	3:0 ✺
11.02.24	Genoa - Atalanta	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
30.11.23	Atalanta - Sporting Lisbon	1:1
05.10.23	Sporting Lisbon - Atalanta	1:2

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