Match Info

EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 3

Date: 22 October 2024, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Wörthersee Stadion (Klagenfurt) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Kruashvili G. (Geo)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport 7, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football, SuperSport GOtv Football
Argentina	16:00	Flow Eventos
Armenia	23:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 8
Australia	06:00	Stan Sport
Austria	21:00	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 2
Belgium	21:00	Pickx+ Sports 6, Pickx+ Sports 6, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 3
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Sport 5
Brazil	16:00	Max
Canada	15:00	DAZN Canada
China	03:00	iQIYI, QQ Sports
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 10
Cyprus	22:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Denmark	21:00	Viaplay
Finland	22:00	MTV Katsomo+
France	21:00	Canal+ Live 7
Germany	21:00	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	22:00	COSMOTE Sport 8
Hungary	21:00	RTL+
Iceland	19:00	Viaplay
India	00:30	Sony LIV
Indonesia	02:00	beIN Connect
Italy	21:00	NOW TV, Sky Sport 257
Laos	02:00	beIN Connect
Malta	21:00	TSN Malta 8
Mexico	13:00	HBO Max
Myanmar	01:30	Canal+ Myanmar
New Zealand	08:00	DAZN New Zealand
Norway	21:00	TV2 Play
Pakistan	00:00	Tapmad
Philippines	03:00	beIN Connect
Poland	21:00	Canal+ Extra 7
Portugal	20:00	Sport TV5
Romania	22:00	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport PPV 1
Russia	22:00	Okko Sport
Slovakia	21:00	Voyo
South Africa	21:00	Supersport Maximo 1 Champions
South America	—	ESPN 6 South, ViX Latin America
Spain	21:00	M+ Liga de Campeones 8, Movistar Plus+ 1
Sweden	21:00	Viaplay
Switzerland	21:00	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 8
Thailand	02:00	beIN Connect
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 8
United Kingdom	20:00	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 7
Usa	15:00	Paramount+
Venezuela	15:00	Inter
Vietnam	02:00	TV 360
International	19:00	Disney+, JioTV app


	Sturm Graz		Sporting Lisbon

	1	X	2
	8	5	1.36
	7.75	5	1.37
	8.3	5.45	1.36	Watch
	8.77	5.4	1.37
	7.63	5.17	1.41	Watch
	8.5	5	1.36
	8.15	5.48	1.4
	8.3	5.45	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.18 ↑ (7.74)	5.24 ↑ (5.16)	1.37 ↓ (1.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Sturm Graz
11.8%

Draw
18.3%

Sporting Lisbon
69.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

12.4%

18.5%

69.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12%

17.9%

71.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sturm Graz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Sporting Lisbon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sturm Graz than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Lisbon than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.5%	3.1%	85.4%

Sturm Graz - Sporting Lisbon Predictions

Users Predictions: Sporting Lisbon will win (81 of 94 users predict this - 86.17%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.19% – 93.15%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Scherpen K. (G) 22. Gazibegovic J. 47. Aiwu E. 35. Geyrhofer N. 24. Lavalee D. (C) 21. Chukwuani T. 8. Yalcouye M. 15. Boving W. 19. Horvat T. 18. Biereth M. 20. Jatta S.	1. Israel F. (G) 47. Esgaio R. 6. Debast Z. 25. Inacio G. 11. Santos N. 21. Catamo G. 23. Braganca D. 42. Hjulmand M. (C) 20. Araujo M. 17. Trincao 9. Gyokeres V.
Substitutes
40. Bignetti M. (G) 36. Camara A. 38. Grgic L. 25. Hierlander S. 2. Johnston M. 17. Karic E. 53. Khudyakov D. (G) 10. Kiteishvili O. 23. Malic A. 32. Schopp K. 9. Yardimci E. 14. Zvonarek L.	41. Diego Callai (G) 22. Fresneda I. 8. Goncalves P. 19. Harder C. 13. Kovacevic V. (G) 2. Matheus Reis 5. Morita H. 57. Quenda G. 3. St. Juste J. 95. Taibo Dominguez L.
Coaches
Ilzer C.	Amorim R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
23', 0 - 1, Santos N. ⚽, Catamo G. (A),
39', Yalcouye M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', 0 - 2, Gyokeres V. ⚽, Debast Z. (A),
56', Esgaio R. ↓, Matheus Reis ↑,
59', Geyrhofer N. ↓, Johnston M. ↑,
59', Jatta S. ↓, Zvonarek L. ↑,
70', Braganca D. ↓, Morita H. ↑,
70', Araujo M. ↓, Goncalves P. ↑,
70', Debast Z. ↓, St. Juste J. ↑,
70', Horvat T. ↓, Yardimci E. ↑,
84', Santos N. ↓, Quenda G. ↑,
90', Lavalee D. ↓, Schopp K. ↑,
90', Biereth M. ↓, Hierlander S. ↑,
90+4', Yardimci E. 🟨,

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium - Wörthersee Stadion.

Sturm is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sporting is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Sturm could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Sporting is certain favorite.

There will not play in Sturm: Borkovic A. (Knee Injury) Gorenc Stankovic J. (Forearm injury) Wuthrich G. (Shoulder Injury)

There will not play in Sporting: Diomande O. (Ankle Injury) Edwards M. (Muscle Injury) Quaresma E. (Injury)

There are questionable in Sporting: Matheus Reis (Injury)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Sturm won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:5 (average 0.5:2.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Sturm won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sturm Graz
Austrian Bundesliga
19.10.24	Sturm Graz - Grazer AK	5:2 ✺
06.10.24	Sturm Graz - Red Bull Salzburg	5:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
02.10.24	Sturm Graz - Club Brugge	0:1 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
28.09.24	Blau-Weiss Linz - Sturm Graz	1:2 ✺
25.09.24	Austria Wien - Sturm Graz	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWLWT
- Sporting Lisbon
Taça de Portugal
18.10.24	Portimonense - Sporting Lisbon	1:2 ✺
Liga Portugal
05.10.24	Sporting Lisbon - Casa Pia	2:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
01.10.24	PSV Eindhoven - Sporting Lisbon	1:1 ✺
Liga Portugal
27.09.24	Estoril Praia - Sporting Lisbon	0:3 ✺
22.09.24	Sporting Lisbon - AVS	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
14.12.23	Sporting Lisbon - Sturm Graz	3:0
21.09.23	Sturm Graz - Sporting Lisbon	1:2

Upcoming Matches