The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sturm Graz 57.3%
Draw 24.3%
Swarovski Tirol 18.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
64.4%
18.8%
16.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
66.9%
18.1%
16.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sturm Graz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sturm Graz's form might have worsened.
Swarovski Tirol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sturm Graz than the current prediction. (+9.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sturm Graz, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swarovski Tirol than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
77.8%
22.2%
0%
Sturm Graz - Swarovski Tirol Predictions
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Sturm will win (votes: 14 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 22.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Sturm: 58.6% โ 97%.
1. Christensen O. (G) 23. Malic A. 47. Aiwu E. 5. Oermann T. 17. Karic E. 19. Horvat T. 4. Gorenc Stankovic J. (C) 21. Chukwuani T. 8. Rozga F. 77. Malone M. 20. Jatta S.
40. Stejskal A. (G) 23. Boras M. 5. Lawrence J. 14. Kubatta D. 17. Naschberger J. 4. Muller V. (C) 20. Bockle B. 37. Wels M. 8. Baden Frederiksen N. 9. Ola-Adebomi A. 30. Taferner M.
Substitutes
26. Beganovic B. 40. Bignetti M. (G) 35. Geyrhofer N. 38. Grgic L. 25. Hierlander S. 43. Hodl J. 11. Kayombo A. 10. Kiteishvili O. 2. Mitchell J.
11. Anselm T. 13. Eckmayr A. (G) 28. Geris T. 3. Gugganig D. 16. Hinterseer L. 19. Huetz C. 27. Jaunegg D. 10. Sabitzer T. 21. Votter Y.
Coaches
Saumel J.
Semlic P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
37', Boras M. 🟨,
38', 1 - 0, Gorenc Stankovic J. ⚽, Horvat T. (A),
44', Aiwu E. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Jatta S. ↓, Hodl J. ↑,
46', Horvat T. ↓, Geyrhofer N. ↑,
53', 1 - 1, Baden Frederiksen N. ⚽, Taferner M. (A),
53', Ola-Adebomi A. 🟨,
56', Muller V. 🟨,
65', Wels M. 🟨,
66', Ola-Adebomi A. ↓, Hinterseer L. ↑,
67', 1 - 2, Taferner M. ⚽, Wels M. (A),
69', Malone M. ↓, Kayombo A. ↑,
69', Rozga F. ↓, Kiteishvili O. ↑,
73', Geyrhofer N. 🟨,
75', 1 - 3, Wels M. ⚽,
80', Wels M. ↓, Sabitzer T. ↑,
80', Baden Frederiksen N. ↓, Anselm T. ↑,
84', Malic A. ↓, Grgic L. ↑,
88', Boras M. ↓, Jaunegg D. ↑,
88', Naschberger J. ↓, Huetz C. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sturm won 5.
In recent matches, Sturm has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Swarovski Tirol is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Sturm may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Sturm is the undisputed favorite.
There will not play in Sturm: Borkovic A.
(Knee Injury)
Kayombo A.
(Ankle Injury)
Khudyakov D.
(Wrist Injury)
There will not play in Swarovski Tirol: Falkner D.
(Inactive)
Ola-Adebomi A.
(Inactive)
Sulzbacher L.
(Knee Injury)
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Sturm won 12 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 36:11. (average 2.6:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Sturm won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 18:5. (average 2.6:0.7).
Last Results with these Odds
Sturm Graz - the odds 1.46 are the expected chance of winning is 64.37%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
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Christensen O. (G) 
Malic A. 
Aiwu E. 
Oermann T. 
Horvat T. 
Rozga F. 
Jatta S. 
Stejskal A. (G) 
Boras M. 
Ola-Adebomi A. 
Kayombo A. 
Kiteishvili O. 
Mitchell J. 
