Match Info

URUGUAY: Primera Division - Clausura - Round 14

Date: 26 November 2024, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Olímpico (Montevideo)

Referee: De Armas M. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


South-america	Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica
Uruguay	VTV+
Venezuela	Inter
World	Disney+, Fanatiz


	Rampla Juniors		Liverpool Montevideo

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.1	2.8	Watch
	2.5	3.1	2.65
	2.55	3.1	2.75	Watch
	2.62	3.29	2.84
	2.59	3.12	2.79	Watch
	2.5	3.1	2.62
	2.57	3.19	2.73	Watch
	2.55	3.1	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↓ (3.19)	3.14 ↓ (3.25)	2.74 ↑ (2.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rampla Juniors
36.4%

Draw
29.6%

Liverpool Montevideo
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.1%

28.6%

42.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.4%

28.3%

41.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rampla Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rampla Juniors's performance.

Liverpool Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Liverpool Montevideo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rampla Juniors than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rampla Juniors that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liverpool Montevideo than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Liverpool Montevideo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Rampla Juniors - Liverpool Montevideo Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Rampla Juniors will win (votes: 16 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rampla Juniors: 62.5% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Samurio A. (G) 17. Barrandeguy F. 3. Centurion L. 30. Madruga A. 14. Rosa D. 18. Adoryan T. 32. Arismendi D. 26. Nunez M. 16. Almeida E. 24. Bassadone L. 7. Rinaldi L.	21. Lentinelly S. (G) 4. Perdomo F. 27. Bentaberry B. 14. Rosso J. 18. Cayetano A. 15. Rodriguez D. 8. Quintana H. 22. Garcia Cardozo D. G. 10. Tabo C. 24. Amaro K. 9. Machado R.
Substitutes
33. Camargo G. 13. Dibble N. 11. Machado G. 5. Mendez I. 10. Mezquida N. 6. Ospitaleche F. 9. Polvera M. 12. Segovia L. (G) 20. Tamareo L. 2. Toledo J.	16. Acosta L. 11. Aued L. 32. Bregante F. 23. Castillo E. 7. Hernandez A. 28. Nunez J. 17. Poiso J. 20. Vergara H. 40. Vikonis N. (G) 31. Wasilewsky L.
Coaches
Martinez E.	Papa Monestier J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Quintana H. ↓, Wasilewsky L. ↑,
48', Adoryan T. ↓, Dibble N. ↑,
56', Bassadone L. 🟨,
61', 0 - 1, Garcia Cardozo D. G. (Pen),
62', Machado R. ↓, Hernandez A. ↑,
62', Tabo C. ↓, Acosta L. ↑,
65', Bassadone L. ↓, Machado G. ↑,
65', Madruga A. 🟨,
71', Madruga A. ↓, Tamareo L. ↑,
71', Nunez M. ↓, Polvera M. ↑,
77', Garcia Cardozo D. G. ↓, Castillo E. ↑,
77', Martinez E. 🟨,
83', Perdomo F. 🟨,
84', Rodriguez D. ↓, Aued L. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Rampla Juniors won 3.

Rampla Juniors is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Liverpool is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Rampla Juniors could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Liverpool have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Rampla Juniors won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 15:15 (average 1.2:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Rampla Juniors won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10:8 (average 1.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rampla Juniors
Uruguayan Primera Division
19.11.24	Rampla Juniors - River Plate Montevideo	0:3 ✺
14.11.24	Boston River - Rampla Juniors	1:0 ✺
09.11.24	Rampla Juniors - Danubio	0:2 ✺
01.11.24	Deportivo Maldonado - Rampla Juniors	1:1 ✺
20.10.24	Rampla Juniors - Nacional Montevideo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 LLLTW
- Liverpool Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
17.11.24	Miramar Misiones - Liverpool Montevideo	2:2 ✺
13.11.24	Cerro Largo - Liverpool Montevideo	0:0 ✺
09.11.24	Peñarol de Montevideo - Liverpool Montevideo	2:0 ✺
03.11.24	Liverpool Montevideo - Progreso	2:1 ✺
21.10.24	Defensor Sporting - Liverpool Montevideo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
13.07.24	Rampla Juniors - Liverpool Montevideo	3:2
25.05.24	Liverpool Montevideo - Rampla Juniors	1:2
17.10.19	Liverpool Montevideo - Rampla Juniors	1:0
25.08.19	Rampla Juniors - Liverpool Montevideo	1:2
23.03.19	Rampla Juniors - Liverpool Montevideo	2:0
09.09.18	Liverpool Montevideo - Rampla Juniors	2:0
06.06.18	Liverpool Montevideo - Rampla Juniors	2:1

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