The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Rampla Juniors 10.7%
Draw 18.8%
Nacional Montevideo 70.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
13.3%
24.5%
62.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
12.9%
23.7%
64.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rampla Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
Nacional Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nacional Montevideo's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rampla Juniors than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional Montevideo than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nacional Montevideo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
100%
Rampla Juniors - Nacional Montevideo Predictions
Users Predictions:
Nacional Montevideo will win
(5 of 5 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Samurio A. (G) 17. Barrandeguy F. 30. Madruga A. 32. Arismendi D. (C) 14. Rosa D. 26. Nunez M. 18. Adoryan T. 15. Plada J. 24. Bassadone L. 7. Rinaldi L. 16. Almeida E.
12. Mejia L. (G) 14. Lozano L. 4. Coates S. (C) 13. Antoni M. 11. Baez Corradi G. 8. Oliva C. 26. Sanabria L. 70. Lopez N. 18. Recoba J. 16. Castro A. 9. Bentancourt R.
Substitutes
29. Alvarez A. 28. Casuriaga F. 22. Dibble N. 23. Etcheverry J. E. 11. Machado G. 10. Mezquida N. 6. Ospitaleche F. 27. Peres L. 12. Segovia L. (G) 2. Toledo J.
33. Chagas Rodrigo 7. Galeano A. 27. Lopez G. 10. Pereyra M. 24. Petit G. 77. Rodriguez N. 29. Santander F. 25. Suarez I. (G) 2. Velazquez E. 22. Zabala D.
Coaches
Martinez E.
Lasarte M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
22', Arismendi D. 🟨,
36', Oliva C. 🟨,
37', 1 - 0, Rinaldi L. ⚽,
42', Lopez N. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Lopez N. ↓, Galeano A. ↑,
46', Recoba J. ↓, Zabala D. ↑,
46', Oliva C. ↓, Pereyra M. ↑,
50', Rinaldi L. ↓, Dibble N. ↑,
57', Bassadone L. ↓, Machado G. ↑,
58', Plada J. ↓, Ospitaleche F. ↑,
62', Dibble N. 🟨,
65', Castro A. ↓, Santander F. ↑,
66', Rosa D. ↓, Etcheverry J. E. ↑,
66', Almeida E. ↓, Toledo J. ↑,
74', Sanabria L. 🟨,
77', Pereyra M. ↓, Rodriguez N. ↑,
86', 1 - 1, Bentancourt R. (Pen),
90+2', Mejia L. 🟨,
90+6', 2 - 1, Nunez M. (Pen),
90+7', Antoni M. 🟨,
Preview
Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 7 and 2).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Rampla Juniors won 1.
Recent matches Rampla Juniors is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Nacional is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Rampla Juniors could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Nacional is certain favorite.
Last 12 head-to-head matches Rampla Juniors won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 8:24 (average 0.7:2).
Including matches at home between the teams Rampla Juniors won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 3:9 (average 0.6:1.8).
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Samurio A. (G) 
Nunez M. 
Mejia L. (G) 
Peres L. 
Galeano A. 
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