Match Info

URUGUAY: Primera Division - Clausura - Round 13

Date: 19 November 2024, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Olímpico (Montevideo)

Referee: Gimenez P. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
Russia	Viju+ Sport
South-america	Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica
Uruguay	VTV+
World	Disney+, Fanatiz


	Rampla Juniors		River Plate Montevideo

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.1	2.9	Watch
	2.37	3.1	2.8
	2.4	3.1	2.9	Watch
	2.6	3.15	3.07
	2.52	3.01	2.98	Watch
	2.3	3.2	2.8
	2.44	3.24	2.85	Watch
	2.4	3.1	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↑ (2.15)	3.13 ↓ (3.26)	2.9 ↓ (3.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rampla Juniors
38.1%

Draw
29.8%

River Plate Montevideo
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.6%

28.7%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8%

24.2%

32.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rampla Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rampla Juniors's form might have worsened.

River Plate Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rampla Juniors than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for River Plate Montevideo than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	14.3%	14.3%

Rampla Juniors - River Plate Montevideo Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Rampla Juniors will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). River Plate will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Samurio A. (G) 17. Barrandeguy F. 3. Centurion L. 32. Arismendi D. (C) 33. Camargo G. 11. Machado G. 26. Nunez M. 18. Adoryan T. 14. Rosa D. 19. Burruzo M. 7. Rinaldi L.	1. Irrazabal Y. (G) 23. Olivera Moreira L. N. 4. Salaberry H. 13. Almeida C. 37. Quintana J. 5. Galletto T. (C) 22. Alfonso M. 6. Fernandez R. 7. Lavega J. 39. Zeballos J. 11. De Los Santos J.
Substitutes
16. Almeida E. 24. Bassadone L. 22. Dibble N. 30. Madruga A. 10. Mezquida N. 6. Ospitaleche F. 9. Polvera M. 12. Segovia L. (G) 20. Tamareo L. 2. Toledo J.	17. Amoroso V. 27. Baez J. 18. Barrios G. 29. Camarda M. 25. Correa Gonzalez F. N. (G) 8. Cristobal R. 30. Gonzalez F. 2. Perez F. 3. Rodriguez N. 10. Vera A.
Coaches
Martinez E.	Palladino F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Lavega J. ⚽,
42', Salaberry H. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Machado G. ↓, Almeida E. ↑,
46', Rosa D. ↓, Ospitaleche F. ↑,
54', Burruzo M. ↓, Polvera M. ↑,
56', Fernandez R. 🟨,
58', Fernandez R. ↓, Amoroso V. ↑,
65', 0 - 2, De Los Santos J. ⚽,
71', Camargo G. ↓, Bassadone L. ↑,
75', Lavega J. ↓, Vera A. ↑,
75', Irrazabal Y. ↓, Correa Gonzalez F. N. ↑,
78', Rinaldi L. ↓, Mezquida N. ↑,
83', Galletto T. 🟨,
86', Alfonso M. 🟨,
90+5', Zeballos J. ↓, Camarda M. ↑,
90+7', 0 - 3, Vera A. ⚽, De Los Santos J. (A),

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 9 and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Rampla Juniors won 2.

Both teams are in bad shape now.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Rampla Juniors won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 14:20 (average 1.4:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Rampla Juniors won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6:8 (average 1.2:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rampla Juniors
Uruguayan Primera Division
14.11.24	Boston River - Rampla Juniors	1:0 ✺
09.11.24	Rampla Juniors - Danubio	0:2 ✺
01.11.24	Deportivo Maldonado - Rampla Juniors	1:1 ✺
20.10.24	Rampla Juniors - Nacional Montevideo	2:1 ✺
16.10.24	Racing Montevideo - Rampla Juniors	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 LLTWL
- River Plate Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
13.11.24	River Plate Montevideo - Miramar Misiones	0:0 ✺
09.11.24	Cerro Largo - River Plate Montevideo	1:0 ✺
03.11.24	River Plate Montevideo - Peñarol de Montevideo	0:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
29.10.24	River Plate Montevideo - Atlético Mineiro	0:0 ✺
22.10.24	Atlético Mineiro - River Plate Montevideo	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 TLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
18.05.24	River Plate Montevideo - Rampla Juniors	0:2
22.11.19	Rampla Juniors - River Plate Montevideo	2:2
18.05.19	River Plate Montevideo - Rampla Juniors	2:1
26.08.18	River Plate Montevideo - Rampla Juniors	3:4
11.03.18	Rampla Juniors - River Plate Montevideo	1:2
23.09.17	River Plate Montevideo - Rampla Juniors	3:1
11.03.17	Rampla Juniors - River Plate Montevideo	3:0

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