Match Info

URUGUAY: Primera Division - Clausura - Round 15

Date: 30 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Olímpico (Montevideo)

Referee: Guerra E. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
Uruguay	VTV, VTV+
World	Disney+


	Rampla Juniors		Montevideo Wanderers

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.3	3.75	Watch
	1.98	3.3	3.4
	2.03	3.3	3.5	Watch
	2.04	3.5	3.78
	2	3.43	3.65	Watch
	1.95	3.4	3.4
	2.01	3.42	3.59	Watch
	2.03	3.3	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.72)	3.37 ↑ (3.13)	3.57 ↑ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

Watch this match and Uruguayan Primera Division with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: GolTV (English)

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Current Win Probability

Rampla Juniors
46.3%

Draw
27.6%

Montevideo Wanderers
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

29.9%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5%

29.8%

35.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rampla Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rampla Juniors's performance.

Montevideo Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Montevideo Wanderers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rampla Juniors than the current prediction. (-11.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rampla Juniors that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montevideo Wanderers than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Montevideo Wanderers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Rampla Juniors - Montevideo Wanderers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Samurio A. (G) 17. Barrandeguy F. 3. Centurion L. 30. Madruga A. 14. Rosa D. 24. Bassadone L. 32. Arismendi D. (C) 26. Nunez M. 16. Almeida E. 22. Dibble N. 7. Rinaldi L.	1. Silveira M. (G) 22. Figueredo S. 14. Acosta M. 4. Risso M. 3. Borthagaray G. 8. Veglio B. (C) 16. Alberti J. 6. Morales L. 13. Otormin L. 11. Albarracin A. 9. Franco C.
Substitutes
18. Adoryan T. 19. Burruzo M. 33. Camargo G. 11. Machado G. 10. Mezquida N. 6. Ospitaleche F. 9. Polvera M. 12. Segovia L. (G) 20. Tamareo L. 2. Toledo J.	29. Crucci E. 25. da Silva J. (G) 20. Ferreira Berrondo M. N. 26. Guzman S. 2. Lima P. 5. Queiroz N. 21. Rolon K. 17. Suarez M. 7. Vega D. 19. Viudez T.
Coaches
Martinez E.	Pacheco A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Acosta M. 🟨,
26', Dibble N. 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Bassadone L. ↓, Machado G. ↑,
46', Acosta M. ↓, Lima P. ↑,
46', Otormin L. ↓, Ferreira Berrondo M. N. ↑,
50', 0 - 1, Franco C. ⚽, Figueredo S. (A),
56', Veglio B. 🟨,
57', 1 - 1, Nunez M. (Pen),
59', Veglio B. ↓, Queiroz N. ↑,
59', Albarracin A. ↓, Viudez T. ↑,
59', Madruga A. ↓, Burruzo M. ↑,
59', Rosa D. ↓, Adoryan T. ↑,
74', Ferreira Berrondo M. N. 🟨,
75', Lima P. 🟨,
80', Nunez M. ↓, Mezquida N. ↑,
81', Rinaldi L. ↓, Polvera M. ↑,
85', Franco C. ↓, Vega D. ↑,
90', Viudez T. (Pen),
90+9', Risso M. 🟨,
90+10', Arismendi D. 🟨,
90+11', Arismendi D. 🟨,
90+14', Silveira M. 🟨,
90+15', (Pen),

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 12 and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Rampla Juniors won 0.

Rampla Juniors has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Wanderers is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Rampla Juniors won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 15:21 (average 1.2:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Rampla Juniors won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9:12 (average 1.3:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rampla Juniors
Uruguayan Primera Division
26.11.24	Rampla Juniors - Liverpool Montevideo	0:1 ✺
19.11.24	Rampla Juniors - River Plate Montevideo	0:3 ✺
14.11.24	Boston River - Rampla Juniors	1:0 ✺
09.11.24	Rampla Juniors - Danubio	0:2 ✺
01.11.24	Deportivo Maldonado - Rampla Juniors	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLLT
- Montevideo Wanderers
Uruguayan Primera Division
26.11.24	Montevideo Wanderers - Miramar Misiones	2:0 ✺
18.11.24	Cerro Largo - Montevideo Wanderers	4:0 ✺
14.11.24	Montevideo Wanderers - Peñarol de Montevideo	0:2 ✺
10.11.24	Progreso - Montevideo Wanderers	0:0 ✺
04.11.24	Montevideo Wanderers - Defensor Sporting	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
01.06.24	Montevideo Wanderers - Rampla Juniors	2:1
20.10.19	Rampla Juniors - Montevideo Wanderers	1:1
18.08.19	Montevideo Wanderers - Rampla Juniors	4:3
31.03.19	Montevideo Wanderers - Rampla Juniors	1:0
01.09.18	Rampla Juniors - Montevideo Wanderers	0:1
19.05.18	Rampla Juniors - Montevideo Wanderers	2:3
17.03.18	Montevideo Wanderers - Rampla Juniors	1:1

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