The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Rayo Vallecano 63.5%
Draw 21.9%
Lech Poznań 14.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
68.3%
20.3%
11.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
72%
19.3%
10.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rayo Vallecano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
Lech Poznań has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Vallecano than the current prediction. (+8.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rayo Vallecano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lech Poznań than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
80.8%
11.5%
7.7%
Rayo Vallecano - Lech Poznań Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
Users Predictions:
Rayo Vallecano will win
(21 of 26 users predict this - 80.77%). Confidence interval (95%): 65.62% – 95.92%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Rayo Vallecano will win (6 of 8 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Rayo Vallecano (votes: 8 - 80%). Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Batalla A. (G) 20. Balliu I. 24. Lejeune F. 6. Ciss P. 22. Pacha 8. Trejo O. 23. Valentin O. (C) 15. Gumbau G. 21. Perez F. 10. Camello S. 18. Garcia A.
41. Mrozek B. (G) 2. Pereira J. 72. Skrzypczak M. 16. Milic A. 15. Gurgul M. 6. Ouma T. 43. Kozubal A. 14. Bengtsson L. 99. Rodriguez P. 77. Palma L. 9. Ishak M. (C)
Substitutes
9. Alemao 28. Becerra S. 1. Cardenas D. (G) 19. de Frutos J. 26. de las Sias M. 4. Diaz P. 17. Lopez U. 30. Molina A. (G) 7. Palazon I. 2. Ratiu A. 33. Vertrouwd J.
7. Agnero Y. 31. Bakowski K. (G) 19. Fiabema B. 20. Gumny R. 88. Ismaheel T. 24. Jagiello F. 56. Lisman K. 27. Monka W. 4. Moutinho J. 33. Pruchniewski M. (G) 23. Thordarson G.
Coaches
Perez I.
Frederiksen N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
10', Trejo O. 🟨,
11', 0 - 1, Palma L. ⚽, Pereira J. (A),
25', Ciss P. 🟨,
39', 0 - 2, Kozubal A. ⚽, Rodriguez P. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
55', Gumbau G. ↓, Diaz P. ↑,
55', Balliu I. ↓, Ratiu A. ↑,
57', Trejo O. ↓, Palazon I. ↑,
57', Camello S. ↓, Alemao ↑,
58', Valentin O. 🟨,
58', 1 - 2, Palazon I. ⚽, Diaz P. (A),
60', Rodriguez P. ↓, Lisman K. ↑,
60', Ishak M. ↓, Agnero Y. ↑,
60', Bengtsson L. ↓, Ismaheel T. ↑,
71', Palma L. ↓, Jagiello F. ↑,
76', Mrozek B. 🟨,
80', Perez F. ↓, de Frutos J. ↑,
83', 2 - 2, de Frutos J. ⚽,
90+1', Garcia A. 🟨,
90+4', 3 - 2, Garcia A. ⚽, Ciss P. (A),
Preview
Rayo Vallecano is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
In recent matches, Lech has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Lech may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Rayo Vallecano has had a series of away games.
In this match, Rayo Vallecano is the obvious favorite.
There will not play in Rayo Vallecano: Chavarria P.
(Red Card)
Mumin A.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Lech: Gholizadeh A.
(Thigh Injury)
Hakans D.
(Ankle Injury)
Murawski R.
(Surgery)
Walemark P.
(Surgery)
There are questionable in Rayo Vallecano: Lopez U.
(Injury)
Luiz Felipe
(Hamstring Injury)
In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.