Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga - Round 8

Date: 28 September 2024, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Campo de Futbol de Vallecas (Madrid) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Ruiz A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga
Argentina	11:15	DGO
Armenia	18:15	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Australia	00:15	beIN Connect
Austria	16:15	DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Belgium	16:15	DAZN 1
Bolivia	10:15	Tigo Sports 1
Bosnia And Herzegovina	16:15	Arena Premium 3, Moja TV
Bulgaria	17:15	Max Sport 4
Canada	10:15	TSN+
China	22:15	Migu, QQ Sports
Croatia	16:15	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	16:15	TV2 Play
Finland	17:15	MTV Katsomo+
France	16:15	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7
Germany	16:15	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	17:15	Nova Sports 1
Hong Kong	22:15	Now Player, Now Sports 2
Hungary	16:15	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	19:45	GXR World
Indonesia	21:15	beIN Connect, RCTI+, Vidio
Israel	17:15	ONE Sport
Italy	16:15	DAZN Italia
Japan	23:15	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Laos	21:15	beIN Connect
Malaysia	22:15	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Mexico	08:15	Sky Sport
New Zealand	03:15	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Sky Sports Norte, SportsMax 2 Caribbean
Norway	16:15	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium
Pakistan	19:15	ARY ZAP
Paraguay	10:15	Tigo Sports
Philippines	22:15	beIN Connect
Poland	16:15	CANAL+ Sport
Portugal	15:15	DAZN 6
Russia	17:15	MATCH! Futbol 2, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Singapore	22:15	beIN Sport 1, StarHub TV+
South America	—	DGO Latin America
South Korea	23:15	Coupang Play
Spain	16:15	DAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga 2, DAZN LaLiga, Gol Play, Gol Stadium, LaLiga TV Bar, Movistar Plus+ 1, Tele Madrid
Sweden	16:15	TV4 Play
Switzerland	16:15	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2
Taiwan	22:15	DAZN
Thailand	21:15	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	17:15	S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	17:15	MEGOGO Futbol 2
United Kingdom	15:15	LaLiga TV, Premier Sports Player
Usa	10:15	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Vietnam	21:15	SCTV Online
International	14:15	DirecTV Sports, Disney+, SportsMax App


	Rayo Vallecano		Leganés

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.1	5.25	Watch
	1.85	3.1	5
	1.95	3.2	4.75
	1.87	3.2	5.54
	1.87	3.11	5.57	Watch
	1.91	3.1	5
	1.95	3.28	5.09	Watch
	1.95	3.2	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (1.98)	3.16 ↓ (3.17)	5.12 ↑ (4.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

Watch this match and Spanish LaLiga with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: ESPN Deportes

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Current Win Probability

Rayo Vallecano
50.7%

Draw
30.5%

Leganés
18.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

48.3%

30.2%

21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

30.5%

20.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rayo Vallecano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Leganés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rayo Vallecano than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leganés than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
79.4%	11.8%	8.8%

Rayo Vallecano - Leganés Predictions

Users Predictions: Rayo Vallecano will win (27 of 34 users predict this - 79.41%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.82% – 93%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Batalla A. (G) 2. Ratiu A. 24. Lejeune F. 16. Mumin A. 20. Balliu I. 17. Lopez U. 6. Ciss P. 19. de Frutos J. 10. Rodriguez J. 18. Garcia A. (C) 14. Camello S.	13. Dmitrovic M. (G) 12. Rosier V. 22. Nastasic M. 6. Gonzalez S. (C) 20. Hernandez J. 8. Cisse S. 5. Tapia R. 11. Cruz J. 21. Lopez R. 2. Altimira A. 18. Haller S.
Substitutes
1. Cardenas D. (G) 26. de las Sias M. 9. de Tomas R. 4. Diaz P. 21. Embarba A. 12. Guardiola S. 15. Gumbau G. 5. Hernandez A. 11. Nteka R. 7. Palazon I. 8. Trejo O. 23. Valentin O.	36. Alvin (G) 14. Brasanac D. 24. Chicco J. 9. de la Fuente M. 15. Franquesa E. 19. Garcia D. 4. Porozo J. 10. Raba D. 7. Rodriguez O. 3. Saenz J. 1. Soriano J. (G)
Coaches
Perez I.	Jimenez B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Camello S. ⚽,
27', Tapia R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', 1 - 1, Cruz J. ⚽, Rosier V. (A),
57', Rodriguez J. 🟨,
63', Ciss P. ↓, Valentin O. ↑,
64', Rodriguez J. ↓, Palazon I. ↑,
64', Camello S. ↓, Nteka R. ↑,
64', Cisse S. ↓, Brasanac D. ↑,
74', Garcia A. ↓, Embarba A. ↑,
74', Haller S. ↓, de la Fuente M. ↑,
74', Altimira A. ↓, Rodriguez O. ↑,
80', de Frutos J. ↓, Trejo O. ↑,
85', Cruz J. ↓, Franquesa E. ↑,
90+4', Embarba A. 🟨,

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 9 and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Rayo Vallecano won 3.

Recent matches Rayo Vallecano is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Leganés is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Rayo Vallecano could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Rayo Vallecano is a favorite.

There will not play in Rayo Vallecano: Espino A. (Foot Injury) Mendez D. (Injury)

There will not play in Leganés: Neyou Y. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Rayo Vallecano: Chavarria P. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Leganés: Garcia N. (Injury)

Last 17 head-to-head matches Rayo Vallecano won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 19-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Rayo Vallecano won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rayo Vallecano
Spanish LaLiga
25.09.24	Girona - Rayo Vallecano	0:0 ✺
22.09.24	Rayo Vallecano - Atlético Madrid	1:1 ✺
16.09.24	Rayo Vallecano - Osasuna	3:1 ✺
31.08.24	Espanyol - Rayo Vallecano	2:1 ✺
27.08.24	Rayo Vallecano - Barcelona	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 TTWLL
- CD Leganés
Spanish LaLiga
22.09.24	Getafe - Leganés	1:1 ✺
19.09.24	Leganés - Athletic Bilbao	0:2 ✺
13.09.24	Betis - Leganés	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
04.09.24	Fuenlabrada - Leganés	0:3 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
31.08.24	Leganés - Mallorca	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
27.07.22	Leganés - Rayo Vallecano	1:2
07.08.21	Leganés - Rayo Vallecano	2:1 penalties
Spanish LaLiga2
06.06.21	Leganés - Rayo Vallecano	1:2
03.06.21	Rayo Vallecano - Leganés	3:0
10.05.21	Rayo Vallecano - Leganés	1:1
02.12.20	Leganés - Rayo Vallecano	1:0
Club Friendly
02.09.20	Leganés - Rayo Vallecano	0:1

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