Match Info

LaLiga - Round 28

Date: 16 March 2026, Monday

Location: Campo de Futbol de Vallecas (Madrid)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 3
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Austria	DAZN
Bangladesh	Begin
Bolivia	ESPN 3
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	TSN+
Chile	ESPN 3
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	ESPN 3
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport
Ecuador	ESPN 3
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, SCTV, Vidio
Israel	ONE Sport
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Maldives	ICE Xtra, Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
North-central-america	RUSH Sports 2 Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Paraguay	ESPN 3
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 3
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	DAZN 2, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	Okko Sport
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	Nova Sport 4, Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
Spain	LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga
Sweden	TV4 Play
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	DAZN Espanol, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+, Fubo Sports Network
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 3, Inter
Vietnam	ON Football, ON Plus, SCTV 15, SCTV Online, VTVcab


	Rayo Vallecano		Levante

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.5	4.33	Watch
	1.85	3.45	4.45
	1.92	3.6	4.54
	1.73	3.85	4.8	Watch
	1.85	3.3	4.33
	1.86	3.59	4.68	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.71)	3.55 ↓ (3.84)	4.52 ↓ (4.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rayo Vallecano
51.9%

Draw
27%

Levante
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

24.8%

19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7%

23.9%

18.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rayo Vallecano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Levante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Vallecano than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rayo Vallecano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Levante than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80.8%	12.3%	6.8%

Rayo Vallecano - Levante Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Levante (2.21) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

DC - Levante (2.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Rayo Vallecano will win (59 of 73 users predict this - 80.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.79% – 89.85%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Rayo Vallecano will win (18 of 19 users predict this - 94.74%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 21 Selected Experts predict this event. Rayo Vallecano (votes: 18 - 85.7%). Levante (votes: 2 - 9.5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 4.8%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Batalla A. (G) 20. Balliu I. 24. Lejeune F. 32. Mendy N. 22. Pacha 15. Gumbau G. 23. Valentin O. (C) 4. Diaz P. 19. de Frutos J. 9. Alemao 21. Perez F.	13. Ryan M. (G) 22. Toljan J. 2. Moreno M. 3. Matturro A. 23. Sanchez M. 20. Rey O. 18. Losada I. 17. Garcia V. 9. Romero I. (C) 26. Tunde K. 19. Espi C.
Substitutes
12. Akhomach I. 10. Camello S. 1. Cardenas D. (G) 3. Chavarria P. 6. Ciss P. 18. Garcia A. 17. Lopez U. 5. Luiz Felipe 14. Martin C. 7. Palazon I. 2. Ratiu A. 8. Trejo O.	55. Abed T. 16. Arriaga K. 27. Cortes F. 1. Cunat P. (G) 21. Etta Eyong K. 11. Morales J. 29. Perez N. 32. Primo A. (G) 14. Raghouber U. 6. Varela Pampin D. 12. Vencedor U.
Coaches
Perez I.	Castro L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
19', Mendy N. 🟨,
30', Tunde K. 🟨,
40', de Frutos J. 🟨,
41', 0 - 1, Espi C. ⚽, Losada I. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Perez F. ↓, Akhomach I. ↑,
46', Gumbau G. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
53', Mendy N. 🟨,
55', Tunde K. ↓, Cortes F. ↑,
58', Toljan J. 🟨,
65', Valentin O. ↓, Palazon I. ↑,
65', Alemao ↓, Ratiu A. ↑,
66', Cortes F. 🟨,
73', Garcia V. ↓, Morales J. ↑,
74', Romero I. ↓, Raghouber U. ↑,
74', Losada I. ↓, Arriaga K. ↑,
76', Balliu I. ↓, Ciss P. ↑,
84', Espi C. ↓, Etta Eyong K. ↑,
88', Moreno M. 🟨,
90+4', Sanchez M. 🟨,
90+4', 1 - 1, Ciss P. ⚽, Lejeune F. (A),

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 15 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rayo Vallecano won 2.

Rayo Vallecano is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Levante is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Rayo Vallecano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Levante has had a series of home games.

In this match, Rayo Vallecano is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Rayo Vallecano: Mendez D. (Injury)

There will not play in Levante: Alvarez C. (Injury) Brugue R. (Knee Injury) Dela (Yellow Cards) Elgezabal U. (Knee Injury) Martinez P. (Knee Injury) Olasagasti J. A. (Red Card)

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Rayo Vallecano won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 33:25. (average 1.7:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Rayo Vallecano won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:11. (average 2.1:1.4).

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga for now

Rayo Vallecano: 0.29% Levante: 0.23%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Rayo Vallecano	7	2	2	3	11:16	-5	8
17	Levante	6	1	2	3	8:12	-4	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rayo Vallecano
UEFA Europa Conference League
12.03.26	Samsunspor - Rayo Vallecano	1:3 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
08.03.26	Sevilla - Rayo Vallecano	1:1 ✺
04.03.26	Rayo Vallecano - Real Oviedo	3:0 ✺
28.02.26	Rayo Vallecano - Athletic Bilbao	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Betis - Rayo Vallecano	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WTWTT
- Levante UD
Spanish LaLiga
07.03.26	Levante - Girona	1:1 ✺
27.02.26	Levante - Deportivo Alavés	2:0 ✺
22.02.26	Barcelona - Levante	3:0 ✺
18.02.26	Levante - Villarreal	0:1 ✺
15.02.26	Levante - Valencia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
19.10.25	Levante - Rayo Vallecano	0:3
20.05.22	Rayo Vallecano - Levante	2:4
11.09.21	Levante - Rayo Vallecano	1:1
04.05.19	Levante - Rayo Vallecano	4:1
23.12.18	Rayo Vallecano - Levante	2:1
Club Friendly
13.08.17	Levante - Rayo Vallecano	Canceled
Spanish LaLiga2
06.05.17	Rayo Vallecano - Levante	2:1

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