Match Info

Date: 30 May 2021, Sunday


	Rayo Vallecano		Lugo

	1	X	2
	1.57	4	5.75	Watch
	1.62	3.8	5.25
	1.62	3.85	5.3	Watch
	1.6	3.7	5.4
	1.63	4.03	5.89
	1.57	3.8	5.5	Watch
	1.63	3.8	5.8	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.59)	3.85 ↓ (3.98)	5.56 ↑ (5.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rayo Vallecano
58.6%

Draw
24.4%

Lugo
16.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.2%

23.6%

17.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.2%

19.6%

14.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rayo Vallecano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Lugo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Vallecano than the current prediction. (+12.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rayo Vallecano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugo than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
59.3%	7.4%	33.3%

Rayo Vallecano - Lugo Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Rayo Vallecano will win (votes: 16 - 59.3%). Lugo will win (votes: 9 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 7.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rayo Vallecano: 40.8% – 77.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

No spectators.

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs) and 18).

Rayo Vallecano has the most likely position - 6 (67.81%), has project points - 69, has currently - 67, has not chance of relegated, has a good chance of prom. playoffs (84%), has a chance of promoted (19%), has not chance of win league.

Lugo has the most likely position - 19 (36.01%), has project points - 45, has currently - 44, has a good chance of relegated (67%), has not chance of prom. playoffs.

Rayo Vallecano is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Lugo is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Lugo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Rayo Vallecano is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Rayo Vallecano won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Rayo Vallecano won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rayo Vallecano
Spanish LaLiga2
24.05.21	Castellón - Rayo Vallecano	0:2 ✺
20.05.21	Rayo Vallecano - Real Oviedo	4:1 ✺
16.05.21	Fuenlabrada - Rayo Vallecano	1:2 ✺
10.05.21	Rayo Vallecano - Leganés	1:1 ✺
03.05.21	Sabadell - Rayo Vallecano	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWWTL
- CD Lugo
Spanish LaLiga2
24.05.21	Lugo - Cartagena	2:1 ✺
18.05.21	Albacete Balompié - Lugo	1:1 ✺
15.05.21	Lugo - Mirandés	2:1 ✺
10.05.21	Sporting de Gijón - Lugo	1:0 ✺
30.04.21	Lugo - Zaragoza	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
01.11.20	Lugo - Rayo Vallecano	1:0
15.01.20	Rayo Vallecano - Lugo	1:0
03.11.19	Lugo - Rayo Vallecano	1:0
27.05.18	Rayo Vallecano - Lugo	1:0
22.12.17	Lugo - Rayo Vallecano	1:2
22.04.17	Rayo Vallecano - Lugo	2:0
13.11.16	Lugo - Rayo Vallecano	1:0

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