Match Info

Date: 22 October 2022, Saturday

Location: Select Car Leasing Stadium (Reading)

Referee: Busby J. (Eng)


	Reading		Bristol City

	1	X	2
	2.62	3.4	2.62
	2.55	3.4	2.65
	2.5	3.5	2.8
	2.5	3.35	2.65
	2.69	3.43	2.74
	2.6	3.25	2.62
	2.56	3.48	2.69	Watch
	2.55	3.4	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (2.42)	3.4 ↑ (3.25)	2.68 ↓ (2.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Reading
36.8%

Draw
27.8%

Bristol City
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

29.2%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

29.3%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Reading has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Bristol City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reading than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bristol City than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.5%	13.6%	31.8%

Reading - Bristol City Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Reading will win (votes: 12 - 54.5%). Bristol City will win (votes: 7 - 31.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 13.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Reading: 33.7% – 75.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 12).

Reading has the most likely position - 20 (6.58%), has project points - 58, has currently - 22, has a chance of relegated (16%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (8%), has a very small chance of promoted (3%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Bristol City has the most likely position - 17 (6.04%), has project points - 59, has currently - 21, has a small chance of relegated (12%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (10%), has a very small chance of promoted (5%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 39, small importance 25, match rating 32. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Reading won 2.

Reading is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Bristol City is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Reading could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

There will not play in Reading: Azeez F. (Injury) Baba A. (Injury) Dann S. (Injury) Hutchinson S. (Injury) Moore L. (Injury) Sarr M. (Injury) Yiadom A. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Bristol City: Benarous A. (Injury) Wilson K. (Injury)

There are questionable in Bristol City: James M. (Injury) Naismith K. (Injury)

Last 15 head-to-head matches Reading won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 20-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Reading won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Reading
English League Championship
18.10.22	Swansea City - Reading	3:2 ✺
15.10.22	Reading - West Bromwich Albion	0:2 ✺
07.10.22	Queens Park Rangers - Reading	2:1 ✺
04.10.22	Reading - Norwich City	1:1 ✺
01.10.22	Reading - Huddersfield Town	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLLTW
- Bristol City
English League Championship
18.10.22	West Bromwich Albion - Bristol City	0:2 ✺
15.10.22	Bristol City - Millwall	1:2 ✺
12.10.22	Bristol City - Preston North End	2:1 ✺
08.10.22	Birmingham City - Bristol City	3:0 ✺
04.10.22	Bristol City - Coventry City	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
09.02.22	Bristol City - Reading	2:1
17.08.21	Reading - Bristol City	2:3
16.02.21	Bristol City - Reading	0:2
28.11.20	Reading - Bristol City	3:1
28.01.20	Reading - Bristol City	0:1
05.10.19	Bristol City - Reading	1:0
19.04.19	Bristol City - Reading	1:1

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