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Current Win Probability
Reading 24.1%
Draw 26.5%
Norwich City 49.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29%
27.9%
43.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.1%
27%
44.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Reading has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
Norwich City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Norwich City's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reading than the current prediction. (+4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Norwich City than the current prediction. (-5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
20.4%
13%
66.7%
Reading - Norwich City Predictions
Users Predictions:
54 users predict this event. Reading will win (votes: 11 - 20.4%). Norwich will win (votes: 36 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 13%). Confidence interval (95%) for Norwich: 54.1% – 79.3%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).
Reading has the most likely position - 18 (5.66%), has project points - 60, has currently - 21, has a small chance of relegated (11%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (12%), has a very small chance of promoted (4%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Norwich has the most likely position - 1 (31.09%), has project points - 86, has currently - 23, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (33%), has a good chance of promoted (59%), has a chance of win league (31%).
This event has quality45, importance38, match rating41. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Reading won 0.
Recent matches Reading is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Norwich in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
In this match Norwich is a favorite.
There will not play in Reading: Azeez F.
(Injury)
Dann S.
(Injury)
Moore L.
(Injury)
Sarr M.
(Injury)
There will not play in Norwich: Hayden I.
(Knee Injury)
Idah A.
(Injury)
Rowe J.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Norwich: Giannoulis D.
(Injury)
McCallum S.
(Injury)
Sorensen J.
(Injury)
Last 12 head-to-head matches Reading won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 17-27.
Including matches at home between the teams Reading won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-8.
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