Match Info

Date: 18 October 2022, Tuesday

Location: Swansea.com Stadium (Swansea)

Referee: Bell J. (Eng)


	Swansea City		Reading

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.3	3.75
	2.1	3.3	3.6
	2.14	3.31	3.7
	2.14	3.2	3.45
	2.2	3.32	3.67
	2.05	3.3	3.6
	2.17	3.38	3.42	Watch
	2.17	3.25	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (2.09)	3.3 (3.3)	3.59 ↑ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Swansea City
44.6%

Draw
28.9%

Reading
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

28.2%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.2%

27.3%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Swansea City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Reading has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swansea City than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reading than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69%	16.7%	14.3%

Swansea City - Reading Predictions

Users Predictions: 42 users predict this event. Swansea will win (votes: 29 - 69%). Reading will win (votes: 6 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Swansea: 55% – 83%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 8 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs)).

Swansea has the most likely position - 7 (5.4%), has project points - 64, has currently - 21, has a small chance of relegated (6%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (18%), has a small chance of promoted (10%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).

Reading has the most likely position - 18 (5.99%), has project points - 59, has currently - 22, has a small chance of relegated (13%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (10%), has a very small chance of promoted (4%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 40, small importance 19, small match rating 30. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Swansea won 1.

Swansea is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Reading is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Swansea will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Swansea: Allen J. (Injury) Paterson J. (Injury) Piroe J. (Red Card) Walsh L. (Injury)

There will not play in Reading: Azeez F. (Injury) Baba A. (Injury) Dann S. (Injury) Moore L. (Injury) Sarr M. (Injury)

Last 15 head-to-head matches Swansea won 7 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 33-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Swansea won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Swansea City
English League Championship
15.10.22	Burnley - Swansea City	4:0 ✺
08.10.22	Swansea City - Sunderland	2:1 ✺
05.10.22	Watford - Swansea City	1:2 ✺
01.10.22	West Bromwich Albion - Swansea City	2:3 ✺
17.09.22	Swansea City - Hull City	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.3 LWWWW
- Reading
English League Championship
15.10.22	Reading - West Bromwich Albion	0:2 ✺
07.10.22	Queens Park Rangers - Reading	2:1 ✺
04.10.22	Reading - Norwich City	1:1 ✺
01.10.22	Reading - Huddersfield Town	3:1 ✺
17.09.22	Wigan Athletic - Reading	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
18.04.22	Reading - Swansea City	4:4
27.11.21	Swansea City - Reading	2:3
English League Cup
10.08.21	Reading - Swansea City	0:3
English League Championship
25.04.21	Reading - Swansea City	2:2
30.12.20	Swansea City - Reading	0:0
22.07.20	Reading - Swansea City	1:4
28.09.19	Swansea City - Reading	1:1

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