Match Info

League One - Round 38

Date: 17 March 2026, Tuesday

Location: Cardiff City Stadium (Cardiff)

Referee: Brook C. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Cardiff City		Wycombe Wanderers

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.9	4.75
	1.77	3.75	4.2
	1.65	3.95	4.7
	1.68	4.17	5.38
	1.64	4.11	4.74	Watch
	1.67	3.8	4.4
	1.67	3.94	4.65	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.88)	3.95 ↑ (3.55)	4.69 ↑ (3.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cardiff City
56.3%

Draw
23.7%

Wycombe Wanderers
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.9%

25.9%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

27.7%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cardiff City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cardiff City's performance.

Wycombe Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Wycombe Wanderers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cardiff City than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wycombe Wanderers than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.3%	7.7%	0%

Cardiff City - Wycombe Wanderers Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cardiff (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Cardiff City will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Trott N. (G) 38. Ng P. 48. Lawlor D. 4. Osho G. 3. Bagan J. 18. Robertson A. 6. Wintle R. 11. Tanner O. 10. Colwill R. (C) 45. Ashford C. 8. Kellyman O.	50. Norris W. (G) 2. Grimmer J. (C) 26. Taylor C. 6. Allen T. 3. Harvie D. 5. Morley A. 8. Boyd-Munce C. 44. Onyedinma F. 20. Henderson E. 28. Harris L. 11. Lowe N.
Substitutes
12. Chambers C. 27. Colwill J. 2. Fish W. 47. Robinson C. 23. Scanlon C. 14. Turnbull D. 16. Willock C.	23. Huggins N. 10. Leahy L. 21. Mullins J. 7. Quitirna A. 1. van Sas M. (G) 77. Vidigal A. 12. Woodrow C.
Coaches
Barry-Murphy B.	Duff M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
43', Osho G. 🟥,
45+2', Robertson A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
57', Henderson E. ↓, Quitirna A. ↑,
57', Lowe N. ↓, Woodrow C. ↑,
62', Robertson A. ↓, Turnbull D. ↑,
63', Tanner O. ↓, Willock C. ↑,
63', Kellyman O. ↓, Colwill J. ↑,
71', Harris L. ↓, Vidigal A. ↑,
71', Bagan J. ↓, Scanlon C. ↑,
79', 0 - 1, Vidigal A. ⚽, Morley A. (A),
80', Vidigal A. 🟨,
83', Colwill J. 🟨,
84', 0 - 2, Woodrow C. ⚽, Taylor C. (A),
85', Lawlor D. ↓, Robinson C. ↑,
90+3', Boyd-Munce C. ↓, Leahy L. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship and 9).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Cardiff may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Cardiff has had a series of away games.

In this match, Cardiff is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Cardiff: Davies I. (Inactive) King E. (Knee Injury) Salech Y. (Inactive)

There will not play in Wycombe: Hagelskjaer A. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Wycombe: Casey D. (Inactive) Lowry A. (Inactive)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Cardiff won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, Cardiff won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Outrights of English League One for now

Wycombe: 1.62%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Wycombe	9	2	4	3	14:20	-6	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cardiff City
English League One
14.03.26	Exeter City - Cardiff City	0:4 ✺
10.03.26	Barnsley - Cardiff City	1:1 ✺
07.03.26	Cardiff City - Lincoln City	0:2 ✺
28.02.26	Doncaster Rovers - Cardiff City	0:4 ✺
21.02.26	Plymouth Argyle - Cardiff City	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WTLWL
- Wycombe Wanderers
English League One
14.03.26	Wycombe Wanderers - Luton Town	1:2 ✺
07.03.26	Bolton Wanderers - Wycombe Wanderers	3:2 ✺
03.03.26	Barnsley - Wycombe Wanderers	0:1 ✺
28.02.26	Wycombe Wanderers - Burton Albion	3:0 ✺
21.02.26	Wycombe Wanderers - Stevenage Borough	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
01.01.26	Wycombe Wanderers - Cardiff City	1:1
Club Friendly
29.07.23	Wycombe Wanderers - Cardiff City	0:0
English League Championship
24.04.21	Cardiff City - Wycombe Wanderers	2:1
29.12.20	Wycombe Wanderers - Cardiff City	2:1

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