The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Reading 23.8%
Draw 26.8%
Lincoln City 49.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
25.2%
27%
47.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
24.7%
26.5%
48.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Reading has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
Lincoln City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reading than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lincoln City than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
64.7%
0%
35.3%
Reading - Lincoln City Predictions
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Reading will win (votes: 11 - 64.7%). Lincoln will win (votes: 6 - 35.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Reading: 42% – 87.4%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Reading will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Pereira J. (G) 12. Burns F. 15. O'Connor P. 3. Dorsett A. J. R. 24. Nyambe R. 6. Fraser L. 10. Wing L. (C) 11. Kyerewaa D. 8. Savage C. 29. Doyle K. 9. Ehibhatiomhan K.
1. Wickens G. (G) 2. Darikwa T. (C) 22. Hamer T. 15. Bradley S. 6. Towler R. 24. Varfolomeev I. 14. McGrandles C. 7. Hackett-Fairchild R. 16. Jefferies D. 20. One R. 18. House B.
Substitutes
27. Keane W. 32. Lane P. 18. Rinomhota A. 5. Roberts H. 25. Stevens J. (G) 17. Yiadom A. 19. Young K.
8. Bayliss T. 25. Elerewe D. 13. Jeacock Z. (G) 19. Lloyd A. 10. Moylan J. 12. Ring E. 17. Street R.
Coaches
Richardson L.
Skubala M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, One R. ⚽, Hackett-Fairchild R. (A),
28', Doyle K. ↓, Lane P. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
59', House B. ↓, Street R. ↑,
66', Jefferies D. 🟨,
67', Jefferies D. ↓, Elerewe D. ↑,
68', One R. ↓, Lloyd A. ↑,
70', Fraser L. ↓, Keane W. ↑,
70', Nyambe R. ↓, Roberts H. ↑,
82', Dorsett A. J. R. ↓, Young K. ↑,
83', Hackett-Fairchild R. ↓, Moylan J. ↑,
83', Varfolomeev I. ↓, Bayliss T. ↑,
84', Burns F. 🟨,
90+2', 1 - 1, Wing L. ⚽,
90+3', Lloyd A. 🟨,
90+6', 1 - 2, Moylan J. ⚽, McGrandles C. (A),
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Reading won 0.
In recent matches, Reading has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Lincoln is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Reading may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Lincoln is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Reading: Elliott B.
(Thigh Injury)
O'Mahony M.
(Knee Injury)
Rinomhota A.
(Personal Reasons)
Ward B.
(Leg Injury)
Williams R.
(Injury)
There will not play in Lincoln: Collins J.
(Knee Injury)
Draper F.
(Injury)
Honohan J.
(Health problems)
Jackson A.
(Surgery)
Reach A.
(Inactive)
Thorn O.
(Ankle Injury)
There are questionable in Reading: Marriott J.
(Inactive)
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Reading won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 3:12. (average 0.4:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Reading won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
Outrights of English League One for now
Reading: 6.34%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
6
Reading
9
4
3
2
22:11
11
15
Last Results with these Odds
Lincoln City - the odds 1.92 are the expected chance of winning is 47.8%, but this team recently wins 83% of matches with these odds.
United-kingdom
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Pereira J. (G) 
Burns F. 
O'Connor P. 
Dorsett A. J. R. 
Nyambe R. 
Fraser L. 
Kyerewaa D. 
Savage C. 
Darikwa T. (C) 
Varfolomeev I. 
McGrandles C. 
Hackett-Fairchild R. 
Lane P. 
Yiadom A. 
Ring E. 
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