The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cardiff City 51.2%
Draw 23.8%
Bolton Wanderers 24.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47.4%
25.5%
27.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.2%
25.4%
27.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cardiff City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
Bolton Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cardiff City than the current prediction. (-4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bolton Wanderers than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
44.4%
33.3%
22.2%
Cardiff City - Bolton Wanderers Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Cardiff will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Bolton will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Cardiff: 11.9% – 76.9%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Trott N. (G) 38. Ng P. 2. Fish W. 48. Lawlor D. 3. Bagan J. 18. Robertson A. 6. Wintle R. 11. Tanner O. 10. Colwill R. (C) 16. Willock C. 8. Kellyman O.
1. Bonham J. (G) 29. Christie C. 18. Toal E. (C) 6. Johnston G. 25. Conway M. 8. Sheehan J. 22. Dempsey K. 14. Osei-Tutu J. 48. Burstow M. 11. Gale T. 10. Dalby S.
Substitutes
27. Colwill J. 44. Kpakio R. 47. Robinson C. 22. Salech Y. 23. Scanlon C. 14. Turnbull D. 41. Turner M. (G)
15. Apter R. 19. Cozier-Duberry A. 3. Forino-Joseph C. 23. Harrington D. (G) 36. Lawrence D. 54. Ritchie T. 27. Rodrigues R.
Coaches
Barry-Murphy B.
Schumacher S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
50', 1 - 0, Kellyman O. ⚽, Bagan J. (A),
52', 2 - 0, Willock C. ⚽, Robertson A. (A),
60', Gale T. ↓, Apter R. ↑,
60', Christie C. ↓, Cozier-Duberry A. ↑,
60', Dempsey K. ↓, Rodrigues R. ↑,
70', Bagan J. 🟨,
77', Willock C. ↓, Scanlon C. ↑,
77', Robertson A. ↓, Turnbull D. ↑,
78', Colwill R. ↓, Colwill J. ↑,
83', Burstow M. ↓, Ritchie T. ↑,
88', Kellyman O. ↓, Salech Y. ↑,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cardiff won 3.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Bolton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Cardiff is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in Cardiff: Davies I.
(Hamstring Injury)
King E.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Bolton: Blackett-Taylor C.
(Thigh Injury)
Erhahon E.
(Inactive)
Forss M.
(Hamstring Injury)
Simons X.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Cardiff: Lawlor D.
(Inactive)
Osho G.
(Injury)
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Cardiff won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:15. (average 1:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Cardiff won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).