Match Info

Date: 4 September 2022, Sunday

Location: Select Car Leasing Stadium (Reading)

Referee: Coote D. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
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Denmark	Viaplay
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France	beIN Sports Max
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport
Poland	Viaplay
Serbia	Arena Sport
Slovenia	Arena Sport
Sweden	Viaplay
Turkey	beIN Sports 3


	Reading		Stoke City

	1	X	2
	3	3.1	2.5
	2.95	3.2	2.45
	3	3.1	2.6
	3	3.2	2.35
	3.04	3.17	2.61
	2.88	3.1	2.5
	2.92	3.24	2.51	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.97 ↑ (2.85)	3.16 ↓ (3.23)	2.5 ↑ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Reading
32%

Draw
30.1%

Stoke City
37.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.8%

28.9%

38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3%

28.5%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Reading has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Stoke City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reading than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stoke City than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.4%	39.3%	14.3%

Reading - Stoke City Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Reading will win (votes: 13 - 46.4%). Stoke will win (votes: 4 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 39.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Reading: 27.9% – 64.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 7 and 19).

Reading has the most likely position - 21 (6.38%), has project points - 56, has currently - 12, has a chance of relegated (19%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (9%), has a very small chance of promoted (3%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Stoke has the most likely position - 12 (5.13%), has project points - 61, has currently - 8, has a small chance of relegated (11%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (14%), has a small chance of promoted (7%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).

This event has quality 39, small importance 23, match rating 31. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Reading won 1.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Reading won 1 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Reading won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Reading
English League Championship
30.08.22	Sheffield United - Reading	4:0 ✺
27.08.22	Millwall - Reading	0:1 ✺
20.08.22	Reading - Middlesbrough	1:0 ✺
17.08.22	Reading - Blackburn Rovers	3:0 ✺
13.08.22	Rotherham United - Reading	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.5 LWWWL
- Stoke City
English League Championship
31.08.22	Stoke City - Swansea City	1:1 ✺
27.08.22	Blackburn Rovers - Stoke City	0:1 ✺
20.08.22	Stoke City - Sunderland	0:1 ✺
17.08.22	Stoke City - Middlesbrough	2:2 ✺
13.08.22	Huddersfield Town - Stoke City	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TWLTL

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
05.04.22	Reading - Stoke City	2:1
07.08.21	Stoke City - Reading	3:2
06.02.21	Stoke City - Reading	0:0
07.11.20	Reading - Stoke City	0:3
20.06.20	Reading - Stoke City	1:1
14.12.19	Stoke City - Reading	0:0
16.03.19	Stoke City - Reading	0:0

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