Match Info

League One - Round 29

Date: 27 January 2026, Tuesday

Location: Select Car Leasing Stadium (Reading)

Referee: Breakspear C. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Reading		Exeter City

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.3	3.3	Watch
	2.1	3.3	3.3
	2.22	3.25	3.15	Watch
	2.25	3.39	3.32
	2.16	3.42	3.25	Watch
	2.2	3.1	3.1
	2.19	3.28	3.27	Watch
	2.14	3.33	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (1.86)	3.3 ↓ (3.43)	3.25 ↓ (3.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Reading
42.9%

Draw
28.4%

Exeter City
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.4%

26.8%

23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2%

26.4%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Reading has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Reading's form might have worsened.

Exeter City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reading than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Reading, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Exeter City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64.3%	14.3%	21.4%

Reading - Exeter City Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Reading will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Exeter will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Reading: 39.2% – 89.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Exeter (1.94) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Exeter City will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Reading (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Exeter (votes: 6 - 85.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pereira J. (G) 24. Nyambe R. 15. O'Connor P. 3. Dorsett A. J. R. 5. Roberts H. 27. Keane W. 10. Wing L. (C) 29. Doyle K. 8. Savage C. 11. Kyerewaa D. 7. Marriott J.	1. Whitworth J. (G) 26. Sweeney P. (C) 5. Fitzwater J. 20. Woodhouse L. 14. Niskanen I. 2. McMillan J. 6. Brierley E. 34. Oakes L. 12. Cole R. 9. Wareham J. 19. Cox S.
Substitutes
12. Burns F. 9. Ehibhatiomhan K. 6. Fraser L. 32. Lane P. 30. Ritchie M. 25. Stevens J. (G) 17. Yiadom A.	10. Aitchison J. 23. Bycroft J. (G) 17. Higgins A. 27. Magennis J. 4. Turns E. 28. Tuterov T. 15. Yfeko J.
Coaches
Richardson L.	Caldwell G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Sweeney P. ⚽, Cole R. (A),
45+1', 1 - 1, Keane W. ⚽, Roberts H. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
58', Cole R. ↓, Aitchison J. ↑,
59', Cox S. ↓, Tuterov T. ↑,
64', McMillan J. ↓, Yfeko J. ↑,
67', Kyerewaa D. ↓, Lane P. ↑,
69', Dorsett A. J. R. 🟨,
74', Woodhouse L. 🟨,
75', 2 - 1, O'Connor P. ⚽, Wing L. (A),
77', Sweeney P. ↓, Turns E. ↑,
77', Wareham J. ↓, Magennis J. ↑,
77', Keane W. ↓, Ehibhatiomhan K. ↑,
78', O'Connor P. 🟨,
79', Roberts H. 🟨,
87', Doyle K. ↓, Yiadom A. ↑,
88', Marriott J. ↓, Fraser L. ↑,
90+3', 2 - 2, Woodhouse L. ⚽,
90+6', Nyambe R. 🟨,
90+11', Tuterov T. 🟨,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 13 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Reading won 3.

Recent performances by Reading have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Exeter is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Reading is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Reading: Elliott B. (Inactive)

There will not play in Exeter: Andrew D. (Inactive) Borges P. (Knee Injury) Yfeko J. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Reading: Williams D. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Exeter: Rydel R. (Inactive)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Reading won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:6. (average 2.4:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Reading won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Outrights of English League One for now

Reading: 6.34%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Reading	9	4	3	2	22:11	11	15

Last Results with these Odds

Exeter City - the odds 3.85 are the expected chance of winning is 23.84%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Reading
English League One
24.01.26	Reading - Barnsley	2:2 ✺
17.01.26	Leyton Orient - Reading	3:1 ✺
04.01.26	Reading - Stockport County	1:0 ✺
01.01.26	Reading - Burton Albion	2:0 ✺
29.12.25	Peterborough United - Reading	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TLWWT
- Exeter City
English League One
24.01.26	Port Vale - Exeter City	1:3 ✺
17.01.26	Exeter City - Stevenage Borough	3:0 ✺
English FA Cup
10.01.26	Manchester City - Exeter City	10:1 ✺
English League One
04.01.26	Huddersfield Town - Exeter City	2:2 ✺
01.01.26	Exeter City - Luton Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.5 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
11.10.25	Exeter City - Reading	1:1
04.03.25	Reading - Exeter City	0:0
22.10.24	Exeter City - Reading	1:2
01.01.24	Reading - Exeter City	3:2
English EFL Trophy
19.09.23	Exeter City - Reading	0:9
English League One
26.08.23	Exeter City - Reading	2:1
Club Friendly
15.07.14	Exeter City - Reading	0:1

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