Match Info

ENGLAND: League One - Round 33

Date: 22 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Select Car Leasing Stadium (Reading)

Referee: Chilowicz A. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Reading		Birmingham City

	1	X	2
	6.25	4.2	1.48	Watch
	6.5	4.5	1.47	Watch
	6.49	4.49	1.49
	6.15	4.21	1.5	Watch
	6.5	4.2	1.5
	6.3	4.4	1.5	Watch
	6.5	4.5	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.38 ↑ (5.76)	4.36 ↑ (4.24)	1.49 ↓ (1.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Reading
14.8%

Draw
21.7%

Birmingham City
63.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.3%

22.1%

61.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.9%

21.5%

63.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Reading has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Birmingham City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reading than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Birmingham City than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Reading - Birmingham City Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Reading will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Birmingham will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Birmingham: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Pereira J. (G) 5. Craig M. 27. Mbengue A. S. 24. Bindon T. 30. Garcia A. 8. Savage C. 29. Wing L. 7. Knibbs H. 20. Campbell C. 9. Ehibhatiomhan K. 28. Camara M.	21. Allsop R. (G) 2. Laird E. 4. Klarer C. 25. Davies B. 20. Cochrane A. 24. Iwata T. 13. Paik Seung-Ho 11. Wright S. 30. Dowell K. 14. Anderson K. 17. Dykes L.
Substitutes
2. Abrefa K. 37. Akande A. 10. Bodin B. 1. Button D. (G) 34. Holzman L. 14. Rushesha T. 19. Wareham J.	6. Bielik K. 19. Gardner-Hickman T. 31. Hanley G. 7. Hansson E. 9. May A. 45. Peacock-Farrell B. (G) 18. Willumsson W. T.
Coaches
Hunt N.	Davies C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Wright S. ↓, Willumsson W. T. ↑,
23', Paik Seung-Ho 🟨,
45+3', Savage C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Dykes L. ↓, May A. ↑,
72', Ehibhatiomhan K. ↓, Wareham J. ↑,
90', Dowell K. ↓, Gardner-Hickman T. ↑,
90', Anderson K. ↓, Hanley G. ↑,
90+1', Camara M. ↓, Bodin B. ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Reading won 2.

Recent matches Reading is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Birmingham is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Reading could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Birmingham have a series of home games.

In this match Birmingham is indisputable favorite.

There will not play in Reading: Dorsett A. J. R. (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in Birmingham: Buchanan L. (Injury) Hansson E. (Injury)

There are questionable in Reading: Dean H. (Injury) Elliott B. (Injury)

There are questionable in Birmingham: Stansfield J. (Injury)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Reading won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 23:30 (average 1.2:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Reading won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 8:12 (average 0.8:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Reading
English League One
15.02.25	Reading - Rotherham United	2:1 ✺
11.02.25	Reading - Shrewsbury Town	1:1 ✺
08.02.25	Huddersfield Town - Reading	0:0 ✺
01.02.25	Reading - Bolton Wanderers	1:0 ✺
28.01.25	Burton Albion - Reading	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WTTWL
- Birmingham City
English EFL Trophy
18.02.25	Birmingham City - Bradford City	2:1 ✺
English League One
15.02.25	Birmingham City - Charlton Athletic	1:0 ✺
11.02.25	Birmingham City - Cambridge United	4:0 ✺
English FA Cup
08.02.25	Birmingham City - Newcastle United	2:3 ✺
English EFL Trophy
04.02.25	Stevenage Borough - Birmingham City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
10.08.24	Birmingham City - Reading	1:1
English League Championship
07.04.23	Reading - Birmingham City	1:1
16.12.22	Birmingham City - Reading	3:2
22.02.22	Reading - Birmingham City	2:1
06.11.21	Birmingham City - Reading	1:2
17.03.21	Birmingham City - Reading	2:1
09.12.20	Reading - Birmingham City	1:2

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