The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Real Avilés 26.3%
Draw 31.9%
Ferrol 41.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32%
30.1%
37.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.7%
29.9%
38.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Avilés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Real Avilés's form might have worsened.
Ferrol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Avilés than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Avilés, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferrol than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
Real Avilés - Ferrol Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -0.25 - Ferrol (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ferrol (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Fernandez A. (G) 2. Ortega G. 5. Babin J. (C) 12. Granero B. 3. Diaz V. 18. Gete A. 16. Gomez A. 8. Bautista K. 14. Cayarga B. 9. Santamaria A. 11. Rubio R.
1. Parera P. M. (G) 2. Miguel 3. Pujol E. 15. Zalaya A. 17. Ramon A. 6. Gelardo A. 8. Gorostidi A. 10. Pascu 7. Alvaro J. 20. Gimenez A. (C) 11. Dacosta R.
Substitutes
13. Almodovar N. (G) 21. Alvarez P. 17. Bari Q. 20. Campabadal E. 26. Carracedo O. 15. Chukwuma E. 10. Cueto J. 23. El Arbaoui Y. 7. Hernandez R. 22. Isi Ros 19. Poquet N. 4. Rodriguez J.
21. Carballo D. 12. Chema 18. Concha D. 25. Diaz L. (G) 9. Escobar A. 13. Fernandez C. G. (G) 24. Garcia A. 16. Garcia S. 22. Mardones A. 5. Noriega J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
28', 0 - 1, Gimenez A. ⚽,
43', 1 - 1, Santamaria A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', Zalaya A. 🟨,
57', Ortega G. ↓, Campabadal E. ↑,
60', Alvaro J. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
71', Gete A. ↓, Hernandez R. ↑,
73', Pascu ↓, Escobar A. ↑,
73', Dacosta R. ↓, Concha D. ↑,
82', Rubio R. ↓, Cueto J. ↑,
82', Cayarga B. ↓, Bari Q. ↑,
84', Gimenez A. ↓, Garcia S. ↑,
89', Diaz V. 🟨,
90+2', 2 - 1, Cueto J. ⚽,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 7 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1).
Real Avilés has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Ferrol's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Ferrol may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Ferrol could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Real Avilés won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 1.3:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Real Avilés won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).
Last Results with these Odds
Real Avilés - the odds 2.84 are the expected chance of winning is 32.03%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.
Ferrol - the odds 2.4 are the expected chance of winning is 37.9%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.
Spain
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Fernandez A. (G) 
Babin J. (C) 
Pujol E. 
Bari Q. 
Chukwuma E. 
