Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 24

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Ruta de la Plata (Zamora)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+, Movistar Plus+


	Zamora		Barakaldo

	1	X	2
	2.15	3	3.25
	2.2	3.05	3.2
	2.25	3	3.5
	2.22	3.1	3.37	Watch
	2.25	2.75	3.1
	2.19	2.89	3.37
	2.16	2.83	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (2.16)	2.95 ↓ (3.06)	3.31 ↓ (3.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Zamora
41.4%

Draw
31%

Barakaldo
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

30.1%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

30.2%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zamora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Barakaldo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zamora than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barakaldo than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Zamora - Barakaldo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sobron F. (G) 19. Abde 15. Buron L. 20. Codina M. 6. Garcia M. 7. Kike (C) 9. Losada M. 16. Lozano M. 2. Luengo Herrera L. M. 11. Romero Morillo A. 5. Ruiz E.	13. Campos G. (G) 18. Arana M. 4. Dufur U. 19. Galarza A. 8. Huidobro J. 15. Jimenez I. 16. Lopez O. 20. Mandiang S. 14. Munoz I. 7. Pedernales I. 21. Pena A.
Substitutes
4. Athuman I. 17. Carbonell J. 18. Farrell J. 21. Lopez M. 23. Lopez S. 8. Marcelo A. 3. Merchan D. 13. Pereda A. (G) 22. Sancho J.	23. Albizua U. 2. de Jesus B. 17. de Leon J. 1. Ispizua I. (G) 6. Naveira U. 24. Ropero I. 22. Torra M. 9. Valino A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Kike ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
60', 1 - 1, Mandiang S. ⚽,
61', Romero Morillo A. ↓, Merchan D. ↑,
63', Jimenez I. 🟨,
67', Jimenez I. ↓, Naveira U. ↑,
67', Galarza A. ↓, Valino A. ↑,
70', 2 - 1, Losada M. ⚽,
71', Lopez O. ↓, Albizua U. ↑,
71', Pena A. ↓, Torra M. ↑,
75', Garcia M. ↓, Marcelo A. ↑,
75', Losada M. ↓, Carbonell J. ↑,
75', Buron L. ↓, Sancho J. ↑,
80', Mandiang S. ↓, de Jesus B. ↑,
84', Marcelo A. 🟨,
87', 2 - 2, Valino A. ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 and 9).

Recent performances by Zamora have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Barakaldo is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Zamora may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Zamora might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Zamora won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Zamora won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Zamora	6	3	1	2	8:6	2	10
16	Barakaldo	6	1	3	2	6:9	-3	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zamora CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
08.02.26	Mérida AD - Zamora	2:0 ✺
31.01.26	Zamora - Ferrol	1:0 ✺
23.01.26	Celta de Vigo B - Zamora	3:3 ✺
17.01.26	Zamora - Tenerife	0:1 ✺
11.01.26	Unionistas de Salamanca - Zamora	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWTLT
- Barakaldo CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
06.02.26	Barakaldo - Talavera de la Reina	2:1 ✺
01.02.26	Cacereño - Barakaldo	0:0 ✺
25.01.26	Athletic Bilbao B - Barakaldo	2:0 ✺
18.01.26	Barakaldo - CD Guadalajara	2:1 ✺
11.01.26	Celta de Vigo B - Barakaldo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
06.09.25	Barakaldo - Zamora	1:1
02.03.25	Zamora - Barakaldo	2:1
18.10.24	Barakaldo - Zamora	0:3

Upcoming Matches