Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 38

Date: 25 May 2024, Saturday


	Real Madrid Castilla		Málaga

	1	X	2
	3	3.25	2.1
	3	3	2.15
	3.2	3.2	2.2
	3.37	3.15	2.25
	3.37	3.08	2.26
	3.11	3.18	2.26
	3.05	3.25	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.16 ↑ (2.93)	3.16 ↓ (3.2)	2.19 ↓ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Madrid Castilla
29.1%

Draw
29.1%

Málaga
41.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.9%

28.2%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1%

28%

40.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Madrid Castilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Málaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid Castilla than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Real Madrid Castilla - Málaga Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
42. Fran (G) 25. Ramon J. 4. Carrillo A. 16. Asencio R. 2. Tobias V. 20. Angel M. 40. Andres C. 22. Palacios C. 3. Obrador R. 10. Paz N. 9. Rodriguez A.	1. Herrero A. (G) 3. Puga C. 20. Monte N. 5. Juande 18. Sanchez D. 16. Rodriguez G. 8. Juanpe 7. Ferreiro D. 23. Sangalli L. 11. Villodres K. 19. Fernandez Jaen R.
Substitutes
21. De Leon J. 24. de Luis M. (G) 14. Gonzalez Ballesteros D. 7. Lopez N. 19. Lorenzo 23. Munoz V. 15. Pujol E. 8. Zidane T.	. Antonito 9. Aviles J. 17. Dioni 2. Gabilondo J. 4. Galilea E. 14. Garcia V. 10. Larrubia D. 13. Lopez C. (G) 22. Lorenzo D. 12. Molina M. 25. Murillo D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Ferreiro D. ⚽,
32', Fernandez Jaen R. 🟨,
33', 1 - 1, Carrillo A. ⚽,
40', Juanpe 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Fernandez Jaen R. ↓, Molina M. ↑,
46', Juanpe ↓, Dioni ↑,
66', Rodriguez G. ↓, Lorenzo D. ↑,
67', Paz N. ↓, Gonzalez Ballesteros D. ↑,
67', Andres C. ↓, Zidane T. ↑,
67', Palacios C. ↓, Munoz V. ↑,
69', 1 - 2, Ferreiro D. ⚽,
75', Villodres K. ↓, Cordero A. ↑,
75', Tobias V. ↓, De Leon J. ↑,
78', Angel M. ↓, Pujol E. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 9 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Málaga is Qualified for Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs

Real Madrid Castilla in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Málaga is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Real Madrid Castilla won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Madrid Castilla
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
18.05.24	Intercity - Real Madrid Castilla	0:1 ✺
12.05.24	Real Madrid Castilla - Granada B	1:0 ✺
05.05.24	Ibiza - Real Madrid Castilla	0:0 ✺
27.04.24	San Fernando - Real Madrid Castilla	1:3 ✺
20.04.24	Real Madrid Castilla - Alcoyano	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WWTWW
- Málaga CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
18.05.24	Málaga - Antequera	3:0 ✺
12.05.24	San Fernando - Málaga	1:1 ✺
05.05.24	Málaga - Mérida AD	1:1 ✺
28.04.24	Córdoba - Málaga	1:0 ✺
21.04.24	Málaga - Real Murcia	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
21.10.23	Málaga - Real Madrid Castilla	0:0

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