Match Info

LaLiga - Round 28

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere (Oviedo) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Sesma M. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Argentina	14:30	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Armenia	21:30	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3
Australia	04:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	18:30	DAZN 2, DAZN
Bangladesh	23:30	Begin
Bolivia	13:30	Tigo Sports 1, Tigo Sports App
Brazil	14:30	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 2, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	19:30	Max Sport 4
Canada	13:30	TSN+
Chile	14:30	DirecTV Sports
China	01:30	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	18:30	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Czech Republic	18:30	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	18:30	TV2 Play
Ecuador	12:30	DirecTV Sports
Finland	19:30	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Max
France	18:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free
Germany	18:30	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch
Greece	19:30	Nova Sports 1
Hong Kong	01:30	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	18:30	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	23:00	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	00:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, SCTV, Vidio
Israel	19:30	ONE Sport
Italy	18:30	DAZN Italia
Japan	02:30	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kenya	20:30	Gotv
Kosovo	18:30	Arena Premium 4
Laos	00:30	beIN Connect
Malaysia	01:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Maldives	22:30	ICE Xtra, Medianet
Malta	18:30	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	11:30	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
Netherlands	18:30	Ziggo Sport
New Zealand	06:30	beIN Connect
Nigeria	18:30	SuperSport LaLiga
North Central America	—	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, RUSH Sports 2 Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Norway	18:30	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1, Viaplay
Peru	12:30	DirecTV Sports
Philippines	01:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Portugal	17:30	DAZN 3, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Russia	20:30	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	18:30	Arena Premium 4
Singapore	01:30	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	18:30	Nova Sport 4, Voyo
Slovenia	18:30	Arena Sport 2
South Africa	19:30	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South America	—	DGO Latin America
Spain	18:30	DAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga, LaLiga TV Bar
Sweden	18:30	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
Switzerland	18:30	Blue Sport 6, Blue Sport 6
Thailand	00:30	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	20:30	S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	19:30	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	17:30	Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	14:30	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Usa	13:30	DAZN Espanol, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+, Fubo Sports Network
Venezuela	13:30	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter
Vietnam	00:30	SCTV 15


	Real Oviedo		Valencia

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.1	2.6	Watch
	2.82	3.15	2.62
	2.92	3.23	2.69
	2.83	3.18	2.64	Watch
	2.8	3	2.5
	3.12	3.17	2.54	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.9 ↑ (2.72)	3.14 ↓ (3.37)	2.6 ↑ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Oviedo
32.9%

Draw
30.4%

Valencia
36.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.9%

28.2%

36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

28.2%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Oviedo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Valencia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Oviedo than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

The ML Model estimate for Valencia aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10.7%	50%	39.3%

Real Oviedo - Valencia Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Oviedo will win (votes: 3 - 11.1%). Valencia will win (votes: 10 - 37%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 51.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 33.1% – 70.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Valencia (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Valencia (2.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Valencia (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Escandell A. (G) 22. Vidal N. 2. Bailly E. 4. Costas D. (C) 25. Lopez J. 6. Sibo K. 23. Fonseca N. 21. Ilic L. 5. Reina A. 15. Fernandez T. 9. Vinas F.	1. Dimitrievski S. (G) 12. Rendall T. 4. Nunez U. 24. Comert E. 14. Gaya J. (C) 8. Guerra J. 2. Rodriguez G. 17. Ramazani L. 23. Ugrinic F. 7. Danjuma A. 6. Sadiq U.
Substitutes
27. Agudin P. 3. Alhassane R. 12. Calvo D. 16. Carmo D. 8. Cazorla S. 7. Chaira I. 11. Colombatto S. 34. Fernandez A. 19. Fores A. 10. Hassan H. 1. Moldovan H. (G) 26. Narvaez M. (G)	10. Almeida A. 15. Beltran L. 9. Duro H. 16. Lopez D. 18. Pepelu 19. Raba D. 20. Renzo Saravia 11. Rioja L. 13. Rivero C. (G) 22. Santamaria B. 5. Tarrega C. 21. Vazquez J.
Coaches
Almada G.	Corberan C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', Rendall T. 🟨,
30', 1 - 0, Costas D. ⚽, Fernandez T. (A),
32', Nunez U. 🟨,
36', Fernandez T. 🟨,
41', Vidal N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Sadiq U. ↓, Duro H. ↑,
56', Ugrinic F. ↓, Almeida A. ↑,
56', Danjuma A. ↓, Rioja L. ↑,
59', Fonseca N. 🟨,
63', Ilic L. ↓, Chaira I. ↑,
70', Guerra J. ↓, Lopez D. ↑,
70', Fonseca N. ↓, Colombatto S. ↑,
70', Fernandez T. ↓, Hassan H. ↑,
80', Gaya J. ↓, Beltran L. ↑,
85', Vidal N. ↓, Calvo D. ↑,
85', Reina A. ↓, Cazorla S. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2 and 12).

Recent form of Oviedo has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Valencia has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Valencia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Oviedo: Ahijado L. (Injury) Borbas T. (Injury) Dendoncker L. (Injury) Ejaria O. (Injury)

There will not play in Valencia: Agirrezabala J. (Knee Injury) Copete J. (Ankle Injury) Diakhaby M. (Muscle Injury) Foulquier D. (Knee Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Oviedo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
19	Valencia	10	1	3	6	7:17	-10	6

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga for now

Valencia: 0.15%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Oviedo
Spanish LaLiga
09.03.26	Espanyol - Real Oviedo	1:1 ✺
04.03.26	Rayo Vallecano - Real Oviedo	3:0 ✺
28.02.26	Real Oviedo - Atlético Madrid	0:1 ✺
21.02.26	Real Sociedad - Real Oviedo	3:3 ✺
15.02.26	Real Oviedo - Athletic Bilbao	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 TLLTL
- CF Valencia
Spanish LaLiga
08.03.26	Valencia - Deportivo Alavés	3:2 ✺
01.03.26	Valencia - Osasuna	1:0 ✺
22.02.26	Villarreal - Valencia	2:1 ✺
15.02.26	Levante - Valencia	0:2 ✺
08.02.26	Valencia - Real Madrid	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
30.09.25	Valencia - Real Oviedo	1:2

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