Match Info

LaLiga - Round 28

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere (Oviedo)

Referee: Sesma M. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	DAZN 2, DAZN
Bangladesh	Begin
Bolivia	Tigo Sports 1, Tigo Sports App
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 2, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	TSN+
Chile	DirecTV Sports
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	TV2 Play
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Max
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free
Germany	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, SCTV, Vidio
Israel	ONE Sport
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 4
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Maldives	ICE Xtra, Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, RUSH Sports 2 Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1, Viaplay
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Portugal	DAZN 3, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 4
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	Nova Sport 4, Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga, LaLiga TV Bar
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
Switzerland	Blue Sport 6, Blue Sport 6
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Usa	DAZN Espanol, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+, Fubo Sports Network
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter
Vietnam	SCTV 15


	Real Oviedo		Valencia

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.1	2.6	Watch
	2.82	3.15	2.62
	2.92	3.23	2.69
	2.83	3.18	2.64	Watch
	2.8	3	2.5
	3.12	3.17	2.54	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.9 ↑ (2.72)	3.14 ↓ (3.37)	2.6 ↑ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Oviedo
32.9%

Draw
30.4%

Valencia
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.9%

28.2%

36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

28%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Oviedo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Valencia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Oviedo than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valencia than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10.7%	50%	39.3%

Real Oviedo - Valencia Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Oviedo will win (votes: 3 - 11.1%). Valencia will win (votes: 10 - 37%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 51.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 33.1% – 70.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Valencia (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Valencia (2.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Valencia (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Escandell A. (G) 22. Vidal N. 2. Bailly E. 4. Costas D. (C) 25. Lopez J. 6. Sibo K. 23. Fonseca N. 21. Ilic L. 5. Reina A. 15. Fernandez T. 9. Vinas F.	1. Dimitrievski S. (G) 12. Rendall T. 4. Nunez U. 24. Comert E. 14. Gaya J. (C) 8. Guerra J. 2. Rodriguez G. 17. Ramazani L. 23. Ugrinic F. 7. Danjuma A. 6. Sadiq U.
Substitutes
27. Agudin P. 3. Alhassane R. 12. Calvo D. 16. Carmo D. 8. Cazorla S. 7. Chaira I. 11. Colombatto S. 34. Fernandez A. 19. Fores A. 10. Hassan H. 1. Moldovan H. (G) 26. Narvaez M. (G)	10. Almeida A. 15. Beltran L. 9. Duro H. 16. Lopez D. 18. Pepelu 19. Raba D. 20. Renzo Saravia 11. Rioja L. 13. Rivero C. (G) 22. Santamaria B. 5. Tarrega C. 21. Vazquez J.
Coaches
Almada G.	Corberan C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', Rendall T. 🟨,
30', 1 - 0, Costas D. ⚽, Fernandez T. (A),
32', Nunez U. 🟨,
36', Fernandez T. 🟨,
41', Vidal N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Sadiq U. ↓, Duro H. ↑,
56', Ugrinic F. ↓, Almeida A. ↑,
56', Danjuma A. ↓, Rioja L. ↑,
59', Fonseca N. 🟨,
63', Ilic L. ↓, Chaira I. ↑,
70', Guerra J. ↓, Lopez D. ↑,
70', Fonseca N. ↓, Colombatto S. ↑,
70', Fernandez T. ↓, Hassan H. ↑,
80', Gaya J. ↓, Beltran L. ↑,
85', Vidal N. ↓, Calvo D. ↑,
85', Reina A. ↓, Cazorla S. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2 and 12).

Recent form of Oviedo has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Valencia has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Valencia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Oviedo: Ahijado L. (Injury) Borbas T. (Injury) Dendoncker L. (Injury) Ejaria O. (Injury)

There will not play in Valencia: Agirrezabala J. (Knee Injury) Copete J. (Ankle Injury) Diakhaby M. (Muscle Injury) Foulquier D. (Knee Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Oviedo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga for now

Valencia: 0.31%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
19	Valencia	7	1	1	5	4:13	-9	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Oviedo
Spanish LaLiga
09.03.26	Espanyol - Real Oviedo	1:1 ✺
04.03.26	Rayo Vallecano - Real Oviedo	3:0 ✺
28.02.26	Real Oviedo - Atlético Madrid	0:1 ✺
21.02.26	Real Sociedad - Real Oviedo	3:3 ✺
15.02.26	Real Oviedo - Athletic Bilbao	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 TLLTL
- CF Valencia
Spanish LaLiga
08.03.26	Valencia - Deportivo Alavés	3:2 ✺
01.03.26	Valencia - Osasuna	1:0 ✺
22.02.26	Villarreal - Valencia	2:1 ✺
15.02.26	Levante - Valencia	0:2 ✺
08.02.26	Valencia - Real Madrid	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
30.09.25	Valencia - Real Oviedo	1:2

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