Match Info

Primera B - Round 32

Date: 25 August 2026, Tuesday

Location: Municipal de Pilar-Carlos Barraza (Buenos Aires)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Real Pilar		Brown de Adrogué

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.70	3.50
	2.12	2.68	3.6	Watch
	2.22	2.75	3.61
	2.2	2.74	3.64	Watch
	2.15	2.6	3.5
	2.14	2.74	3.74
	2.12	2.7	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↑ (1.86)	2.7 ↓ (3.1)	3.59 ↓ (3.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Pilar
41.7%

Draw
33.3%

Brown de Adrogué
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.1%

28.9%

23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

28.5%

22.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Pilar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Real Pilar's form might have worsened.

Brown de Adrogué has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Pilar than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Pilar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brown de Adrogué than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Real Pilar - Brown de Adrogué Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Perafan P. (G) 6. Achucarro D. 10. Camargo T. 11. Crocco M. (C) 2. Gelos V. 3. Gonzalez D. 4. Isola G. 7. Martin B. 5. Pansardi F. 9. Riquelme M. D. 8. Rojas M.	1. Wysocki M. (G) 6. Aguirre C. 7. Baldunciel L. 4. Bogado J. 8. Cesare L. 11. Ferrario F. 3. Guerrero B. 9. Meaurio N. 5. Robles E. 2. Sanchez L. 10. Silva J.
Substitutes
13. Abre F. 16. Cesar J. 17. Franco E. 19. Garcia P. 14. Leguiza D. 15. Rios N. 18. Rodriguez E. 12. Sanchez S. (G) 20. Vergara D.	16. Castano A. 15. Galeano V. 12. Giovini S. (G) 18. Gonzalez L. 20. Lopez B. 14. Ortiz A. 13. Pieres M. 19. Sproat M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Gelos V. ⚽,
44', 2 - 0, Pansardi F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Silva J. ↓, Sproat M. ↑,
46', Bogado J. ↓, Ortiz A. ↑,
50', Robles E. 🟨,
59', Rojas M. ↓, Abre F. ↑,
67', Isola G. ↓, Leguiza D. ↑,
67', Martin B. ↓, Vergara D. ↑,
68', Robles E. ↓, Castano A. ↑,
68', Guerrero B. ↓, Lopez B. ↑,
76', Riquelme M. D. ↓, Rodriguez E. ↑,
76', Crocco M. ↓, Rios N. ↑,
78', Gonzalez D. 🟨,
82', Rios N. 🟨,
84', Cesare L. ↓, Galeano V. ↑,
90', Ferrario F. 🟨,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 19).

Real Pilar is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Brown de Adrogué has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Real Pilar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Real Pilar is a strong favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Real Pilar won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Real Pilar won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Real Pilar	38	17	10	11	42:38	4	61
19	Brown Adrogue	38	8	15	15	24:37	-13	39

Last Results with these Odds

Real Pilar - the odds 1.86 are the expected chance of winning is 48.15%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Pilar FC
Argentinian Primera B
22.08.26	Deportivo Armenio - Real Pilar	0:1 ✺
15.08.26	Real Pilar - Deportivo Flandria	0:0 ✺
08.08.26	Argentino de Quilmes - Real Pilar	0:0 ✺
01.08.26	Real Pilar - Defensores Unidos	2:1 ✺
25.07.26	Comunicaciones - Real Pilar	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WTTWW
- Brown de Adrogué
Argentinian Primera B
21.08.26	Brown de Adrogué - UAI Urquiza	1:1 ✺
15.08.26	Villa Dálmine - Brown de Adrogué	1:0 ✺
08.08.26	Brown de Adrogué - Excursionistas	1:0 ✺
31.07.26	Arsenal Sarandí - Brown de Adrogué	1:1 ✺
25.07.26	Brown de Adrogué - Argentino de Merlo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 TLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
14.04.26	Brown de Adrogué - Real Pilar	1:1
02.08.25	Real Pilar - Brown de Adrogué	1:1
15.03.25	Brown de Adrogué - Real Pilar	0:0

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