Match Info

CHILE: Chilean Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 June 2024, Sunday


	Real San Joaquín		Unión Española

	1	X	2
	6.25	4.33	1.4
	5.25	4.2	1.46
	6	4.5	1.45
	6.97	4.71	1.37
	6.97	4.71	1.37
	6	4.33	1.44
	6.56	4.55	1.38
	5.4	4.2	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.18 ↑ (5.01)	4.44 ↑ (4)	1.42 ↓ (1.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real San Joaquín
14.8%

Draw
20.6%

Unión Española
64.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.2%

22.7%

59.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.4%

22.5%

58.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real San Joaquín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Unión Española has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Unión Española's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real San Joaquín than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Española than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Unión Española, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Real San Joaquín - Unión Española Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Ibarra J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
51', 1 - 1, Aranguiz P. ⚽,
90', 2 - 1, Toro H. ⚽,
90+8', 2 - 2, Penailillo N. ⚽,

Preview

1st leg.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Unión Española could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Unión Española is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real San Joaquín
Chilean Cup
15.06.24	Real San Joaquín - Santiago Morning	1:0 penalties ✺
Chilean Segunda Division
26.05.24	Real San Joaquín - Provincial Osorno	3:3 ✺
19.05.24	Provincial Ovalle - Real San Joaquín	4:0 ✺
12.05.24	Real San Joaquín - Trasandino de Los Andes	1:0 ✺
05.05.24	San Antonio Unido - Real San Joaquín	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WTLWL
- Unión Española
Chilean Primera Division
07.06.24	Unión Española - Unión La Calera	0:1 ✺
01.06.24	Unión Española - Deportes Iquique	4:3 ✺
24.05.24	Palestino - Unión Española	0:1 ✺
11.05.24	Huachipato - Unión Española	2:2 ✺
04.05.24	Unión Española - Universidad Católica	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LWWTL

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