Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga - Round 31

Date: 14 April 2024, Sunday

Location: Reale Arena (San Sebastian)

Referee: Diaz de Mera I. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	Optus Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Croatia	Arena Sport
Cyprus	PrimeTel
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu
France	beIN Sports, beIN Sports Max
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports
Serbia	Arena Sport
Slovenia	Arena Sport
United-kingdom	Viaplay


	Real Sociedad		Almería

	1	X	2
	1.3	5	11	Watch
	1.31	5.25	9.75
	1.32	5.5	10	Watch
	1.32	5.4	12.32
	1.31	5.41	12.34
	1.3	5.5	10
	1.34	5.63	10.8	Watch
	1.33	5.3	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.35)	5.37 ↑ (5.07)	10.9 ↑ (9.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Sociedad
73.2%

Draw
17.9%

Almería
8.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.6%

18.8%

10.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.9%

18.2%

10.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Sociedad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Almería has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Sociedad than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almería than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	7.5%	2.5%

Real Sociedad - Almería Predictions

Users Predictions: Real Sociedad will win (36 of 40 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.7% – 99.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Remiro A. (G) 18. Traore H. 5. Zubeldia I. 24. Le Normand R. 25. Galan J. 12. Zakharyan A. 4. Zubimendi M. 8. Merino M. 7. Barrenetxea A. 11. Becker S. 10. Oyarzabal M.	25. Maximiano L. (G) 18. Pubill M. 21. Chumi 3. Gonzalez E. 24. Langa B. 6. Lopy D. 5. Robertone L. 38. Romero L. 8. Viera J. 10. Embarba A. 12. Leo Baptistao
Substitutes
21. Andre Silva 30. Ayesa G. (G) 6. Elustondo A. 15. Gonzalez U. 14. Kubo T. 13. Marrero U. (G) 2. Odriozola A. 16. Olasagasti J. A. 20. Pacheco J. 19. Sadiq U. 17. Tierney K. 22. Turrientes B.	19. Arribas S. 4. Baba I. 20. Centelles A. 23. Kone I. 15. Lozano C. 1. Marino D. (G) 13. Martinez F. (G) 22. Montes C. 26. Pena M. 17. Pozo A. 7. Ramazani L. 27. Sanz P.
Coaches
Alguacil I.	Mel P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
30', 0 - 1, Embarba A. ⚽, Pubill M. (A),
32', 1 - 1, Becker S. ⚽, Galan J. (A),
36', Romero L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Romero L. ↓, Ramazani L. ↑,
59', 2 - 1, Oyarzabal M. ⚽, Becker S. (A),
70', Barrenetxea A. ↓, Kubo T. ↑,
70', Becker S. ↓, Turrientes B. ↑,
70', Leo Baptistao ↓, Lozano C. ↑,
74', Lopy D. ↓, Baba I. ↑,
75', Le Normand R. 🟨,
78', Oyarzabal M. ↓, Andre Silva ↑,
86', Zubeldia I. 🟥,
88', 2 - 2, Embarba A. (Pen),
89', Zakharyan A. ↓, Pacheco J. ↑,
90+4', Zubimendi M. 🟨,
90+4', Ramazani L. 🟨,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa Conference League (Qualification: ) and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Real Sociedad won 3.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Almería could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Real Sociedad is certain favorite.

There will not play in Real Sociedad: Fernandez C. (Knee Injury) Mendez B. (Leg Injury) Merquelanz M. (Knee Injury) Munoz A. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Almería: Melero G. (Suspended) Milovanovic M. (Hand Injury) Radovanovic A. (Muscle Injury) Suarez L. (Foot Injury)

There are questionable in Real Sociedad: Kubo T. (Muscle Injury)

Last 7 head-to-head matches Real Sociedad won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Real Sociedad won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Sociedad
Spanish LaLiga
31.03.24	Deportivo Alavés - Real Sociedad	0:1 ✺
15.03.24	Real Sociedad - Cádiz	2:0 ✺
09.03.24	Granada - Real Sociedad	2:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
05.03.24	Real Sociedad - Paris Saint-Germain	1:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
02.03.24	Sevilla - Real Sociedad	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWWLL
- UD Almería
Spanish LaLiga
30.03.24	Almería - Osasuna	0:3 ✺
17.03.24	Las Palmas - Almería	0:1 ✺
11.03.24	Almería - Sevilla	2:2 ✺
01.03.24	Celta de Vigo - Almería	1:0 ✺
24.02.24	Almería - Atlético Madrid	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 LWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
11.11.23	Almería - Real Sociedad	1:3
23.05.23	Real Sociedad - Almería	1:0
08.01.23	Almería - Real Sociedad	0:2
13.02.15	Almería - Real Sociedad	2:2
21.09.14	Real Sociedad - Almería	1:2
24.03.14	Almería - Real Sociedad	4:3
27.10.13	Real Sociedad - Almería	3:0

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