Match Info

EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - PLAY OFFS - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 5 March 2024, Tuesday

Location: Reale Arena (San Sebastian)

Referee: Oliver M. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	beIN Sports, Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Sport
Belgium	RTL
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Hungary	Sport 1
Italy	Sky Sport
Portugal	Eleven Sports 2
Romania	Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 2
Serbia	Arena Sport
United-kingdom	TNT Sports


	Real Sociedad		Paris Saint-Germain

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.6	3.2
	2.25	3.4	3.1
	2.28	3.55	3.15	Watch
	2.25	3.56	3.3
	2.26	3.56	3.29
	2.25	3.6	3
	2.41	3.58	3.13
	2.36	3.5	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↓ (2.63)	3.54 ↑ (3.46)	3.17 ↑ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Network on TV: CBS

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Current Win Probability

Real Sociedad
42.3%

Draw
27.2%

Paris Saint-Germain
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.2%

27.5%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

29%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Sociedad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Sociedad's performance.

Paris Saint-Germain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Paris Saint-Germain might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Sociedad than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paris Saint-Germain than the current prediction. (+4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.3%	20%	56.7%

Real Sociedad - Paris Saint Germain Predictions

Users Predictions: 90 users predict this event. Real Sociedad will win (votes: 21 - 23.3%). PSG will win (votes: 51 - 56.7%). It will Tie (votes: 18 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for PSG: 46.5% – 66.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Remiro A. (G) 18. Traore H. 5. Zubeldia I. 24. Le Normand R. 25. Galan J. 23. Mendez B. 4. Zubimendi M. 8. Merino M. 14. Kubo T. 10. Oyarzabal M. (C) 11. Becker S.	99. Donnarumma G. (G) 2. Hakimi A. 35. Beraldo L. 21. Hernandez L. 25. Mendes N. 33. Zaire-Emery W. 17. Vitinha 8. Ruiz F. 10. Dembele O. 7. Mbappe K. (C) 29. Barcola B.
Substitutes
21. Andre Silva 42. Aramburu J. 7. Barrenetxea A. 15. Gonzalez U. 28. Magunazelaia Argoitia J. 29. Marin P. 13. Marrero U. (G) 16. Olasagasti J. A. 20. Pacheco J. 19. Sadiq U. 17. Tierney K. 22. Turrientes B.	43. Gadou J. 23. Kolo Muani R. 19. Lee Kang-In 5. Marquinhos 41. Mayulu S. 26. Mukiele N. 1. Navas K. (G) 15. Pereira D. 9. Ramos G. 28. Soler C. 80. Tenas A. (G) 4. Ugarte M.
Coaches
Alguacil I.	Enrique L.

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-2.

Real Sociedad is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

PSG is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Real Sociedad could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Real Sociedad will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Real Sociedad won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Sociedad
Spanish LaLiga
02.03.24	Sevilla - Real Sociedad	3:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
27.02.24	Real Sociedad - Mallorca	1:2 penalties ✺
Spanish LaLiga
23.02.24	Real Sociedad - Villarreal	1:3 ✺
18.02.24	Mallorca - Real Sociedad	1:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
14.02.24	Paris Saint-Germain - Real Sociedad	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLLWL
- Paris Saint-Germain
French Ligue 1
01.03.24	Monaco - Paris Saint-Germain	0:0 ✺
25.02.24	Paris Saint-Germain - Rennes	1:1 ✺
17.02.24	Nantes - Paris Saint-Germain	0:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
14.02.24	Paris Saint-Germain - Real Sociedad	2:0 ✺
French Ligue 1
10.02.24	Paris Saint-Germain - Lille	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TTWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
14.02.24	Paris Saint-Germain - Real Sociedad	2:0

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