Match Info

Date: 16 September 2021, Thursday


	PSV Eindhoven		Real Sociedad

	1	X	2
	2.37	3.5	2.9
	2.35	3.4	3
	2.45	3.4	3.1
	2.3	3.3	3
	2.39	3.49	3.1
	2.35	3.5	2.87
	2.45	3.58	3.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↓ (2.52)	3.45 ↓ (3.54)	3.02 ↑ (2.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 0.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

PSV Eindhoven
40.4%

Draw
27.8%

Real Sociedad
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

27%

35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.9%

19.9%

47.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

PSV Eindhoven has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Real Sociedad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for PSV Eindhoven than the current prediction. (-12.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with PSV Eindhoven that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Sociedad than the current prediction. (+16.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Sociedad could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	21.6%	15.9%

PSV Eindhoven - Real Sociedad Predictions

Users Predictions: 88 users predict this event. PSV will win (votes: 55 - 62.5%). Real Sociedad will win (votes: 14 - 15.9%). It will Tie (votes: 19 - 21.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for PSV: 52.4% – 72.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

PSV has currently - 0, has a chance of 1st (26%), has a chance of 2nd (31%), has a chance of 3rd (30%), has a chance of round of 16 (40%), has a chance of qtrs (20%), has a small chance of semis (10%), has a very small chance of final (5%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).

Real Sociedad has currently - 0, has a chance of 1st (47%), has a chance of 2nd (30%), has a chance of 3rd (18%), has a good chance of round of 16 (65%), has a chance of qtrs (41%), has a chance of semis (24%), has a small chance of final (14%), has a small chance of win league (7%).

PSV is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Real Sociedad is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PSV Eindhoven
Dutch Eredivisie
11.09.21	AZ Alkmaar - PSV Eindhoven	0:3 ✺
28.08.21	PSV Eindhoven - Groningen	5:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
24.08.21	PSV Eindhoven - Benfica	0:0 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
21.08.21	PSV Eindhoven - Cambuur	4:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
18.08.21	Benfica - PSV Eindhoven	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWTWL
- Real Sociedad
Spanish LaLiga
12.09.21	Cádiz - Real Sociedad	0:2 ✺
28.08.21	Real Sociedad - Levante	1:0 ✺
22.08.21	Real Sociedad - Rayo Vallecano	1:0 ✺
15.08.21	Barcelona - Real Sociedad	4:2 ✺
Club Friendly
06.08.21	Real Sociedad - Osasuna	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWWLL

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