Match Info

EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 5

Date: 29 November 2023, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	SuperSport
Australia	07:00	Stan Sport
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Sport
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport
Denmark	21:00	Viaplay
Finland	22:00	MTV Katsomo
France	21:00	beIN Sports Max
Portugal	20:00	Eleven Sports 6
Serbia	21:00	Arena Sport
United Kingdom	20:00	TNT Sports


	Real Sociedad		Red Bull Salzburg

	1	X	2
	1.55	4	6.5
	1.53	4.2	6
	1.55	4.3	6.3	Watch
	1.57	4.25	6.35
	1.58	4.17	6.37
	1.5	4.2	6
	1.54	4.3	6.15
	1.56	4.3	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↑ (1.52)	4.22 ↓ (4.36)	6.21 ↑ (6.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Sociedad
61.9%

Draw
22.7%

Red Bull Salzburg
15.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

62.7%

21.8%

15.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.8%

21.4%

15.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Sociedad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Red Bull Salzburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Sociedad than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Bull Salzburg than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.2%	2.4%	7.3%

Real Sociedad - Red Bull Salzburg Predictions

Users Predictions: Real Sociedad will win (74 of 82 users predict this - 90.24%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.82% – 96.66%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Remiro A. (G) 2. Odriozola A. 6. Elustondo A. 5. Zubeldia I. 3. Munoz A. 23. Mendez B. 4. Zubimendi M. 22. Turrientes B. 10. Oyarzabal M. (C) 11. Cho M. 12. Zakharyan A.	24. Schlager A. (G) 70. Dedic A. 4. Piatkowski K. 31. Pavlovic S. 17. Ulmer A. (C) 10. Sucic L. 18. Bidstrup M. 30. Gloukh O. 7. Capaldo N. 45. Nene D. 21. Ratkov P.
Substitutes
21. Andre Silva 7. Barrenetxea A. 26. Gonzalez U. 14. Kubo T. 24. Le Normand R. 32. Marrero U. (G) 8. Merino M. 16. Olasagasti J. A. 20. Pacheco J. 19. Sadiq U. 17. Tierney K. 18. Traore H.	6. Baidoo S. 15. Diambou M. 32. Forson A. 8. Kameri D. 20. Koita S. 19. Konate K. 41. Krumrey J. (G) 1. Mantl N. (G) 39. Morgalla L. 23. Simic R.
Coaches
Alguacil I.	Struber G.

Preview

Real Sociedad is Qualified for Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Salzburg could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Real Sociedad is indisputable favorite.

There will not play in Real Sociedad: Fernandez C. (Knee Injury) Merquelanz M. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Salzburg: Baidoo S. (Muscle Injury) Fernando (Muscle Injury) Kameri D. (Muscle Injury) Kjaergaard M. (Shoulder Injury) Koita S. (Muscle Injury) Okoh B. (Thigh Injury) Solet O. (Thigh Injury) Terzic A. (Muscle Injury) Ulmer A. (Ankle Injury) Wallner L. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Real Sociedad: Andre Silva (Injury)

Our prediction for today's Real Sociedad to win the game is with odds 1.46.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Real Sociedad won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Real Sociedad won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Sociedad
Spanish LaLiga
26.11.23	Real Sociedad - Sevilla	2:1 ✺
11.11.23	Almería - Real Sociedad	1:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
08.11.23	Real Sociedad - Benfica	3:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
04.11.23	Real Sociedad - Barcelona	0:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
01.11.23	Buñol - Real Sociedad	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWWLW
- Red Bull Salzburg
Austrian Bundesliga
25.11.23	Red Bull Salzburg - Hartberg	3:2 ✺
12.11.23	Austria Wien - Red Bull Salzburg	0:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
08.11.23	Red Bull Salzburg - Inter Milan	0:1 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
04.11.23	Swarovski Tirol - Red Bull Salzburg	0:2 ✺
Austrian OFB Cup
01.11.23	Hartberg - Red Bull Salzburg	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
03.10.23	Red Bull Salzburg - Real Sociedad	0:2
UEFA Europa League
22.02.18	Red Bull Salzburg - Real Sociedad	2:1
15.02.18	Real Sociedad - Red Bull Salzburg	2:2

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