Match Info

EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 4

Date: 8 November 2023, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Sport
Bulgaria	Ring
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu
France	beIN Sports
Hungary	Sport 2
Portugal	Eleven Sports
Romania	Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 2
Sweden	CMore Live
United-kingdom	TNT Sports


	Real Sociedad		Benfica

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.6	4.5
	1.77	3.7	4.6
	1.78	3.75	4.75	Watch
	1.79	3.75	4.85
	1.79	3.74	4.86
	1.7	3.7	4.6
	1.75	3.75	4.85
	1.8	3.65	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (1.92)	3.71 ↑ (3.56)	4.71 ↑ (4.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Network on TV: TUDN

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Current Win Probability

Real Sociedad
53.9%

Draw
25.8%

Benfica
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.5%

26.8%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.5%

26.8%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Sociedad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Benfica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Sociedad than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81%	11.6%	7.4%

Real Sociedad - Benfica Predictions

Users Predictions: Real Sociedad will win (98 of 121 users predict this - 80.99%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74% – 87.98%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Remiro A. (G) 6. Elustondo A. 5. Zubeldia I. 24. Le Normand R. 3. Munoz A. 23. Mendez B. 4. Zubimendi M. 8. Merino M. 14. Kubo T. 10. Oyarzabal M. (C) 7. Barrenetxea A.	1. Trubin A. (G) 4. Antonio Silva 30. Otamendi N. (C) 5. Morato 87. Neves J. 61. Florentino 20. Joao Mario 8. Aursnes F. 11. Di Maria A. 9. Cabral A. 27. Rafa Silva
Substitutes
30. Ayesa G. (G) 11. Cho M. 9. Fernandez C. 26. Gonzalez U. 28. Magunazelaia Argoitia J. 29. Marin P. 32. Marrero U. (G) 2. Odriozola A. 16. Olasagasti J. A. 19. Sadiq U. 22. Turrientes B. 12. Zakharyan A.	44. Araujo T. 22. Chiquinho 47. Gouveia T. 17. Guedes G. 38. Joao Victor 13. Jurasek D. 45. Kokubo L. (G) 33. Musa P. 24. Soares S. (G) 19. Tengstedt C.
Coaches
Alguacil I.	Schmidt R.

Preview

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

Benfica could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Real Sociedad is a favorite.

There will not play in Real Sociedad: Andre Silva (Calf Injury) Merquelanz M. (Knee Injury) Tierney K. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Benfica: Bah A. (Foot Injury) Bernat J. (Muscle Injury) David Neres (Injury) Kokcu O. (Muscle Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Real Sociedad won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Sociedad
Spanish LaLiga
04.11.23	Real Sociedad - Barcelona	0:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
01.11.23	Buñol - Real Sociedad	0:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
29.10.23	Rayo Vallecano - Real Sociedad	2:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
24.10.23	Benfica - Real Sociedad	0:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
21.10.23	Real Sociedad - Mallorca	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LWTWW
- SL Benfica
Liga Portugal
04.11.23	Chaves - Benfica	0:2 ✺
Portuguese League Cup
31.10.23	Arouca - Benfica	0:2 ✺
Liga Portugal
28.10.23	Benfica - Casa Pia	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
24.10.23	Benfica - Real Sociedad	0:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
20.10.23	SC Lusitânia - Benfica	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
24.10.23	Benfica - Real Sociedad	0:1

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