Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 30

Date: 30 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Zubieta Real Sociedad (San Sebastian)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Real Sociedad B		Barakaldo

	1	X	2
	2.63	2.88	2.63
	2.6	3	2.45
	2.7	3.05	2.65
	2.62	3.03	2.66	Watch
	2.73	2.98	2.73
	2.7	3.05	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↑ (2.35)	3 ↓ (3.05)	2.63 ↓ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Sociedad B
34.5%

Draw
30.6%

Barakaldo
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Sociedad B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Barakaldo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Sociedad B than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Sociedad B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barakaldo than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Barakaldo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Real Sociedad B - Barakaldo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fraga A. (G) 22. Ruperez I. 15. Rodriguez P. 24. Beitia L. 23. Agote U. 17. Ramirez D. 8. Rodriguez M. 10. Goti Lopez M. 28. Carbonell T. 19. Marchal A. 35. Carrera G.	13. Perez U. (G) 2. de Jesus B. 3. Garcia B. 12. Artetxe M. 10. Torre I. 7. Pedernales I. 8. Huidobro J. 20. Martinez J. 5. Molina E. 18. Santiago P. 19. Isuskiza V.
Substitutes
13. Arana E. (G) 40. Astiazaran L. 3. Balda J. 18. Garcia E. 16. Gibelalde M. 6. Lebarbier A. 21. Merino J. 9. Orobengoa E. 38. Ropero I.	22. Bujan U. 4. Jelbat A. 15. Muguruza A. 1. Tena J. (G) 14. Txoperena U.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
39', 1 - 0, Goti Lopez M. ⚽,
43', 2 - 0, Goti Lopez M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Garcia B. ↓, Muguruza A. ↑,
46', Torre I. ↓, Jelbat A. ↑,
50', Jelbat A. 🟨,
69', Martinez J. ↓, Txoperena U. ↑,
74', de Jesus B. ↓, Bujan U. ↑,
84', 2 - 1, Santiago P. ⚽,
85', Santiago P. 🟨,
88', 2 - 2, Muguruza A. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 6).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Real Sociedad B won 4.

Real Sociedad B is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Barakaldo is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Real Sociedad B won 10 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 32:20 (average 1.8:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Real Sociedad B won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13:9 (average 1.6:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Sociedad B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
23.03.25	Ourense CF - Real Sociedad B	1:0 ✺
15.03.25	Real Sociedad B - Zamora	0:1 ✺
07.03.25	Sestao - Real Sociedad B	0:0 ✺
02.03.25	Real Sociedad B - Athletic Bilbao B	1:2 ✺
22.02.25	Real Unión de Irun - Real Sociedad B	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLTLW
- Barakaldo CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
23.03.25	Barakaldo - Celta de Vigo B	0:1 ✺
15.03.25	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Barakaldo	1:0 ✺
09.03.25	Barakaldo - Lugo	3:2 ✺
02.03.25	Zamora - Barakaldo	2:1 ✺
23.02.25	Barakaldo - Unionistas de Salamanca	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
31.08.24	Barakaldo - Real Sociedad B	0:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
07.02.21	Real Sociedad B - Barakaldo	2:0
08.11.20	Barakaldo - Real Sociedad B	1:4
16.02.20	Real Sociedad B - Barakaldo	2:4
29.09.19	Barakaldo - Real Sociedad B	0:5
26.01.19	Real Sociedad B - Barakaldo	3:0
09.09.18	Barakaldo - Real Sociedad B	2:0

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