Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 18

Date: 22 December 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadium Gal (Irun)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Real Unión de Irun		Leonesa

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.4	2.25
	2.8	3.2	2.2
	2.8	3.4	2.33
	2.95	3.2	2.38
	2.87	3.22	2.33	Watch
	2.9	3	2.4
	2.92	3.16	2.36
	2.8	3.4	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↑ (2.53)	3.25 ↓ (3.55)	2.32 ↓ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Unión de Irun
32.2%

Draw
28.3%

Leonesa
39.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

25.8%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

25.2%

37%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Unión de Irun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Leonesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Unión de Irun than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Real Unión de Irun - Leonesa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Wright J. (G) 5. Dominguez J. 15. Mosquera Y. 6. Quintana A. 24. Munroe F. 11. Obieta K. 10. Rivero Q. 21. San Bartolome V. 8. Bilbao I. 7. Aranzabe A. 20. Sergio Benito	1. Banuz M. (G) 12. Ortega G. 5. Fornos Q. 3. Satrustegui E. 15. Ruiz V. 10. Chacon L. 6. Presa K. 22. Pibe 14. Bicho 11. Samanes S. 9. Justo M.
Substitutes
9. Benito A. 17. Cayarga B. 19. Eimil V. 22. Garrido D. 18. Lozano A. 3. Marquez J. 4. Olaortua I. 25. Perez C. (G) 16. Vidorreta A.	20. Alba T. 21. Artola J. 7. Calderon C. 17. Martinez A. 31. Martinez I. 4. Rodri Suarez 28. Ruiz A. 26. Ruiz J. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Ruiz V. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', 0 - 1, Justo M. ⚽,
58', Justo M. ↓, Artola J. ↑,
63', Samanes S. ↓, Martinez I. ↑,
63', Fornos Q. ↓, Rodri Suarez ↑,
70', San Bartolome V. ↓, Cayarga B. ↑,
70', Quintana A. ↓, Eimil V. ↑,
78', Chacon L. ↓, Ruiz A. ↑,
78', Pibe ↓, Calderon C. ↑,
79', Bilbao I. ↓, Benito A. ↑,
79', Sergio Benito ↓, Vidorreta A. ↑,
82', Munroe F. 🟨,
86', Benito A. 🟥,
90+3', Dominguez J. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Real Unión won 0.

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Real Unión could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Real Unión won 0 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:5 (average 0.5:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Real Unión won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2 (average 0.7:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Unión de Irun
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
14.12.24	Arenteiro - Real Unión de Irun	3:0 ✺
07.12.24	Real Unión de Irun - Athletic Bilbao B	3:1 ✺
01.12.24	Lugo - Real Unión de Irun	3:1 ✺
24.11.24	Real Unión de Irun - Ourense CF	0:1 ✺
16.11.24	Real Sociedad B - Real Unión de Irun	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LWLLL
- Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
15.12.24	Leonesa - Gimnástica Segoviana	2:3 ✺
08.12.24	Barakaldo - Leonesa	3:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
04.12.24	Leonesa - Almería	1:2 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
01.12.24	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Leonesa	2:3 ✺
23.11.24	Leonesa - Athletic Bilbao B	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
04.05.24	Real Unión de Irun - Leonesa	0:0
02.12.23	Leonesa - Real Unión de Irun	2:0
03.04.22	Real Unión de Irun - Leonesa	1:1
22.01.22	Leonesa - Real Unión de Irun	1:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
19.01.20	Leonesa - Real Unión de Irun	0:0
01.09.19	Real Unión de Irun - Leonesa	1:1

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