Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 14

Date: 24 November 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadium Gal (Irun)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Real Unión de Irun		Ourense CF

	1	X	2
	1.91	3	3.9
	1.93	3.1	3.6
	1.99	3.15	3.9
	1.97	3.1	4.09
	1.92	3.08	4.12	Watch
	1.95	3.08	4.08
	1.99	3.15	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.03)	3.09 ↑ (3.07)	3.94 ↑ (3.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Unión de Irun
47%

Draw
29.7%

Ourense CF
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

29.9%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46%

30.5%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Unión de Irun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Ourense CF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Unión de Irun than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ourense CF than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Real Unión de Irun - Ourense CF Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Wright J. (G) 2. Santos S. 15. Mosquera Y. 4. Olaortua I. 6. Quintana A. 3. Carlos J. 10. Rivero Q. 21. San Bartolome V. 8. Bilbao I. 20. Sergio Benito 11. Obieta K.	1. Marqueta R. (G) 19. Rodriguez M. 5. Prado M. 15. Zalaya A. 3. Sanz H. 16. Juanma Bravo 6. Fidalgo A. 11. Gil A. 22. Noriega J. 21. Raigal J. 9. Di Renzo G.
Substitutes
7. Aranzabe A. 9. Benito A. 17. Cayarga B. 5. Dominguez J. 19. Eimil V. 22. Garrido D. 18. Lozano A. 25. Rodriguez O. (G) 16. Vidorreta A.	2. Andrada F. 7. Carbonell J. 4. Carmona F. 14. del Olmo I. 23. Fullana F. 13. Guillen P. (G) 17. Prada R. 8. Ramos J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
3', Juanma Bravo ↓, Fullana F. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', Di Renzo G. ↓, Carmona F. ↑,
55', Rodriguez M. ↓, Carbonell J. ↑,
60', 🟨,
61', 0 - 1, Fullana F. (Pen),
61', Carlos J. ↓, Aranzabe A. ↑,
61', Obieta K. ↓, Benito A. ↑,
66', Quintana A. ↓, Garrido D. ↑,
76', Fullana F. 🟨,
77', Rivero Q. ↓, Cayarga B. ↑,
87', Raigal J. ↓, Andrada F. ↑,
88', Gil A. ↓, Prada R. ↑,
88', 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 12 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Real Unión is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ourense CF is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ourense CF could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Real Unión is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Unión de Irun
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
16.11.24	Real Sociedad B - Real Unión de Irun	5:0 ✺
09.11.24	Real Unión de Irun - Ponferradina	2:2 ✺
03.11.24	Unionistas de Salamanca - Real Unión de Irun	4:1 ✺
26.10.24	Real Unión de Irun - Gimnástic de Tarragona	1:0 ✺
20.10.24	Gimnástica Segoviana - Real Unión de Irun	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LTLWL
- Ourense CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
17.11.24	Ourense CF - Tarazona	3:2 ✺
09.11.24	Celta de Vigo B - Ourense CF	1:0 ✺
03.11.24	Ourense CF - FC Andorra	0:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
29.10.24	Guijuelo - Ourense CF	1:2 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
26.10.24	Athletic Bilbao B - Ourense CF	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.3 WLTWW

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